49ers vs. Seahawks: Complete Week 15 Preview for San Francisco

49ers vs. Seahawks: Complete Week 15 Preview for San Francisco
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149ers' Week 14 Recap
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2News and Notes
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3Injury Report
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4X-Factors and Matchups to Watch
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5Prediction
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49ers vs. Seahawks: Complete Week 15 Preview for San Francisco

Dec 11, 2014

49ers vs. Seahawks: Complete Week 15 Preview for San Francisco

Colin Kaepernick and the 49ers will return to CenturyLink Field, where they will try to overcome the ghosts of seasons prior.
Colin Kaepernick and the 49ers will return to CenturyLink Field, where they will try to overcome the ghosts of seasons prior.

Things don't get any easier for the 7-6 San Francisco 49ers in Week 15 when they travel north to take on the Seattle Seahawks—a game that takes place Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET on Fox.

San Francisco is coming off a 24-13 loss to the lowly Oakland Raiders, perhaps marking the lowest point of the season.

This loss crippled the 49ers' playoff chances and put the team two games out of a playoff berth with help needed along the way.

Now, San Francisco is forced to take on the Seahawks at CenturyLink Field—a venue that has seen its fair share of painful 49ers defeats in recent seasons.

Meanwhile, the Seahawks are playing extremely well—a level at which Seattle was able to embarrass San Francisco at Levi's Stadium on Thanksgiving. The Seahawks are also coming off an impressive 24-14 road victory over the Philadelphia Eagles, in which Seattle allowed just 139 yards of total offense.

An inept 49ers offense matching up against a top-ranked Seahawks defense at the stadium that boasts one of the best home-field advantages in the NFL suggests that San Francisco will have zero chance to stage an upset in this possible elimination game.

With all that is happening with the franchise right now—from the front office down to the players themselves—San Francisco would like nothing more than to come out and make a statement against its hated division rival.

While this notion seems illogical at best, this game will essentially be the final regular-season chance for the 49ers to make that statement—to prove that, as a team, they are better than the way they have played.

49ers' Week 14 Recap

Losing to the Seahawks in Week 13 was one thing. Dropping the next contest to the previously 1-11 Raiders was another.

Week 14 revealed all that is currently wrong with the 49ers. There was a continued lack of identity and systematic approach on offense. This was highlighted by running back Frank Gore's statistics during the game.

Gore averaged 5.3 yards per carry against an Oakland defense that isn't particularly good against the run. Yet he only received 12 touches on the day. After the game, Gore reflected upon what he considered the lowest point on the season, via KNBR 680.

Video: Frank Gore says this is the lowest point in the #49ers season. What do you think? http://t.co/jY1IYOzvpb pic.twitter.com/vRhpVSBMXz

— KNBR (@KNBR) December 8, 2014

San Francisco's offensive line struggled once more as this unit allowed five sacks of quarterback Colin Kaepernick. In return, the 49ers pass rush mustered just one against Raiders quarterback Derek Carr. As a result, the rookie was able to easily pick apart San Francisco's secondary en route to the victory.

Kaepernick's ongoing struggles picked up right where they left off in Week 13. He tossed two more interceptions, including one on the 49ers' first play from scrimmage. 

The 27-year-old signal-caller was not particularly friendly with the media following the loss against Oakland, per Matt Barrows of The Sacramento Bee. Kaepernick's shoving of a cameraman at halftime and the off-the-field altercation with Raiders linebacker Sio Moore didn't help much either.

The disjointed mess that has surrounded the 49ers of late suggests that all the consternation between head coach Jim Harbaugh and the front office has worked its way onto the field. Have the players finally given up on the head coach as described in the above video?

Probably not, but to suggest anything but this being a distraction is naive. 

News and Notes

The 49ers' Week 14 loss might have been the critical blow that eliminates the team from playoff contention. Another loss in Seattle may be the proverbial "final nail in the coffin" that ends San Francisco's postseason prospects.

But there is more going on here than just the win-loss record. There is a lack of identity on offense. Swirling rumors of Harbaugh's future, and who his likely replacement will be, carry weight.

And then there is Colin Kaepernick.

Kaepernick's Low Point

In back-to-back weeks, Kaepernick has posted season-low quarterback ratings of 36.7 and 54.4. During that stretch, the quarterback has thrown just one touchdown against four interceptions. 

These numbers, combined with his general lack of consistency and accuracy struggles, suggest that he is nowhere near progressing in the way the 49ers would have liked.

But some, like Hall of Famer Jerry Rice, feel that there is far more to the story. Rice called out—via KNBR 680's Murph and Mac Show (h/t Cam Inman of the San Jose Mercury News)—San Francisco's receiving corps, stating they needed to create more separation to help their quarterback out.

Jerry Rice wants #49ers WRs to get more separation to help Kaepernick vs #Seahawks http://t.co/ICzCBCQepS

— Cam Inman (@CamInman) December 11, 2014

Rice also felt that the current offensive scheme isn't one that benefits Kaepernick. The famed wideout suggested spreading things out more to create more opportunities.

Then there is the whole media frenzy with Kaepernick.

But in the wake of players, like Rice, stating that Kaepernick should be more professional, the quarterback finally opened up more to reporters on Wednesday.

Time will reveal whether that remains a constant.

But fans will ultimately want to see whether Kaepernick can turn things around on the field. Perhaps a new head coach and a new offense is needed. Perhaps the rest of the league has finally caught up with Kaepernick, and he is at a crossroads like Hall of Famer Bill Parcells stated, via Inman.

It's hard to say at this point.

Harbaugh's Future

Had the 49ers reached the playoffs and pushed deep, there might have been a glimmer of hope that Harbaugh would return to San Francisco in 2015.

But with the loss to Oakland came even further speculation that Harbaugh's tenure is all but done after this season. The growing rift between Harbaugh, CEO Jed York and general manager Trent Baalke leads all to believe that the head coach will be dismissed upon season's end.

Yet Harbaugh has received plenty of defense, including that from Seahawks head coach Pete Carroll, who stated via Eric Branch of SFGate.com:

Not everybody likes everybody or gets along with everybody. Sometimes they don’t see the magic that guys have. I think he’s fantastic football coach. He’s proven that. There’s no question about that.

The fact that he’s going through all these conversations and stuff – he’s a stud. He’s not going to waver. He’s going to keep battling and do what he does. He’s a great competitor. Always has been.

Does #49ers brass lack vision? Pete Carroll: "Sometimes they don’t see the magic that guys have." http://t.co/NP7TVb9uZg #Seahawks

— Eric Branch (@Eric_Branch) December 11, 2014

Carroll's statements won't be enough to save Harbaugh's job. 

NaVorro Bowman Added to 53-Man Roster

All-Pro linebacker NaVorro Bowman has made his return to the roster following the gruesome knee injury suffered during last year's NFC Championship game.

The 49ers placed No. 2 tight end Vance McDonald (back) on season-ending injured reserve to make room for Bowman.

Bowman likely won't play in Week 15 in Seattle, per Harbaugh (h/t 49ers.com), but his presence during practice and along the sidelines should provide a much-needed boost.

Jim Harbaugh: @NBowman53 won't play this week, but he could return in Weeks 16 or 17. http://t.co/z4EVz9Xe7Q pic.twitter.com/twwuIi0N4Y

— San Francisco 49ers (@49ers) December 11, 2014

Harbaugh did suggest that the veteran linebacker could wind up playing in San Francisco's final two games of the regular season.

Playoff Picture

Even at 7-6, the 49ers still have a glimmer of hope regarding the playoffs.

Jerrell Richardson of CBS Local put together a detailed description regarding the various avenues in which San Francisco could still make it into the postseason.

At this point, the 49ers will need some help from other teams along the way. 

The Arizona Cardinals are losing momentum, and the 9-4 Detroit Lions have an uncertain future with the surging Green Bay Packers looming in Week 17. Even Seattle has to have a strong push to round out the regular season.

None of this will matter if San Francisco loses on Sunday.

But there is that chance.

Injury Report

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kH4m5LHgRz0
  • Raymond Ventrone, S: Questionable (groin)
  • Justin Smith, DE: Questionable (back)
  • Stevie Johnson, WR: Questionable (knee)
  • Glenn Dorsey, DT: Questionable (forearm)
  • NaVorro Bowman, LB: Questionable (knee)
  • Chris Culliver, CB: Questionable (shoulder)
  • Anthony Davis, OT: Questionable (concussion)
  • Tramaine Brock, CB: Questionable (hamstring)
  • Marcus Martin, C: Questionable (knee)
  • Brandon Lloyd, WR: Questionable (quadriceps)
  • Ray McDonald, DE: Probable (finger)
  • Mike Iupati, OG: Probable (elbow)

Bowman's activation is a positive for this roster, but the All-Pro linebacker likely won't be in action until Week 16 at the earliest. He'll spend this time continuing to rehabilitate his knee.

Defensive end Justin Smith, wide receiver Stevie Johnson, center Marcus Martin and special teamer Raymond Ventrone also missed practice this week, per Matt Barrows of The Sacramento Bee.

#49ers did not practice: Bowman (knee), WR Stevie Johnson (knee), C Marcus Martin (knee), DE Justin Smith (back), S Raymond Ventrone (groin)

— Matt Barrows (@mattbarrows) December 11, 2014

An added day off for Smith isn't anything unusual, so we should likely expect the veteran to suit up on Sunday. But Johnson and Martin's potential absences could create some concern.

Martin hasn't had the dynamic rookie season one might have hoped along the 49ers offensive line. Missing the first half with a knee injury didn't help either. Backup O-lineman Joe Looney took over at the position when Martin went out with his injury in Week 14.

Johnson has been a nice No. 3 receiver for the 49ers offense but has essentially been a non-factor during the last four-game stretch.

Then there is the depth in the secondary.

Cornerbacks Chris Culliver and Tramaine Brock are both listed as questionable, and this unit has been forced to reconcile with their respective absences over the course of the season. Reinforcements will be nice considering how the Raiders were able to take advantage of this unit a week ago.

Both were limited in practice, per David Fucillo of Niners Nation.

X-Factors and Matchups to Watch

Seattle is playing at an extremely high level entering this contest—an aspect that prompts the question whether or not they are the most dangerous contender in the NFC right now.

Its defense ranks No. 1 in the league with just 3,568 all-purpose yards allowed. The Seahawks defense is No. 1 against the pass (2,475 yards allowed) and No. 3 against the run (1,093 yards allowed).

Combine this with all the problems San Francisco has had on offense, and one should expect another blowout, right?

As per usual, it would be expected that the 49ers defense will have to be the primary force in order to keep San Francisco in contention. 

Chris Borland vs. Marshawn Lynch

The Seahawks will pound the ball with running back Marshawn Lynch on Sunday. Slowing him down, and hopefully stopping him, will fall upon 49ers run-stuffers—namely rookie linebacker Chris Borland.

Borland has emerged as San Francisco's tackling machine this season. He currently leads the defense with 81 tackles despite not earning a full-time role until Week 6.

But tackling Lynch proved to be a far more difficult task when these two teams met last. 

Borland described the challenge, via Eric Branch of SFGate.com:

Beast Note: #49ers LB Chris Borland said #Seahawks Marshawn Lynch accelerates through contact, whereas many RBs brace for contact.

— Eric Branch (@Eric_Branch) December 5, 2014

Lynch gained 104 yards against the 49ers in Week 13. His abilities, combined with the remaining cast of Seattle's runners, have pushed the Seahawks into the No. 1 rushing team in the league with 2,211 yards on the ground.

Aldon Smith vs. Russell Okung

San Francisco's pass rush was widely absent in Week 14. It can't afford to be again versus Seattle.

Linebacker Aldon Smith has had some success against the Seahawks in recent contests and will look to replicate such performances on Sunday. He'll be lined up against left tackle Russell Okung with the hopes of edging around the O-lineman en route to quarterback Russell Wilson.

Wilson was sacked four times when the 49ers last played the Seahawks. The quarterback has been sacked 33 times on the year, so there will be opportunities for the pressure to reach him.

Smith will be a part of that equation. If Smith is doubled in protection, expect fellow pass-rushers like linebacker Aaron Lynch and/or defensive end Justin Smith to attempt the pressure.

49ers Secondary vs. Doug Baldwin

A depleted San Francisco backfield hopes to receive the added reinforcements of Tramaine Brock and Chris Culliver on Sunday. Depending how that works, the secondary will look to contain wide receiver Doug Baldwin, who has emerged as Wilson's favorite receiving target in 2014.

Baldwin leads Seattle with 53 receptions and 616 yards. 

Steve Corkran of the San Jose Mercury News writes, "Baldwin has adjusted well to assuming the No. 1 receiver role on the heels of the Seahawks parting ways with Golden Tate and Percy Harvin."

VIDEO of Russell Wilson's touchdown pass to Doug Baldwin https://t.co/oCMb1E5aEu

— Danny Kelly (@FieldGulls) December 8, 2014

But getting the ball to Baldwin will ultimately fall in the hands of Wilson, who marks the next point of emphasis.

49ers Defense vs. Russell Wilson

While the rushing prowess of Lynch embodies almost everything the Seahawks do on offense, Wilson is equally as effective at thwarting opposing defenses' plans in limiting Seattle. His mobility and elusiveness within the pocket create a variety of problems for any defense.

Corkran describes how well Wilson is performing at this point:

He has accounted for 3,456 yards, 22 touchdowns passing and rushing combined so far. His ability to run the ball whenever a play breaks down or there’s an opening makes the Seahawks offense so much more dynamic. He is playing as well as any quarterback in the game right now.

Simply putting pressure on him isn't enough. The pass rush needs to close him out and close off avenues in which he can escape. That's no easy task. San Francisco's defense will also need to account for his rushing abilities.

Perhaps this unit will assign a spy out of its linebacker corps to handle situations in which the signal-caller takes off.

Anthony Davis/Jonathan Martin vs. Michael Bennett

Right tackle Anthony Davis (concussion) is still listed as questionable, but he was able to practice on Wednesday, per Brandon Wise of CBS Sports. If Davis is unable to go, Jonathan Martin will get the start once more. Martin hasn't exactly been the most stellar lineman up front this year.

Either tackle will have to face off against defensive end Michael Bennett, who leads the Seahawks with six sacks on the year. One of those came against San Francisco in Week 13.

San Francisco's O-line has been under scrutiny for much of the season. This beleaguered unit has dealt with a flurry of injuries all year, which has contributed for 43 sacks allowed—third most in the NFL.

But Seahawks cornerback Richard Sherman still has respect for this unit and others, having stated such via Seahawks.com (h/t 49ers.com):

You see (Anthony) Davis, you see (Mike) Iupati, the center is gone but Joe Staley is still there. They’re the same guys, (Frank) Gore is still back there. You still got Anquan (Boldin), so you still got all the pieces there. You don’t see any weakness; those guys are big-time players in this league and anytime you have them on the field, they are going to play like big-time players because they have pride in their games.

Davis, Martin and the O-line will have to be atop their game against a healthy Seahawks defensive front. Whoever wins this matchup will likely go home with the victory.

49ers Receivers vs. Richard Sherman

Sherman did point out a certain level of respect for players like wide receiver Anquan Boldin. But his coverage skills in Week 13 were primarily matched up against wideouts Brandon Lloyd and Stevie Johnson.

During those contests, it was Sherman who came away with two interceptions—further fueling the discussion regarding Kaepernick's effectiveness.

But Jerry Rice called out the receivers' responsibility in each of those two picks via KNBR 680 (h/t Cam Inman of the San Jose Mercury News):

"As a wide receiver, when the ball is not going where it needs to be, you have to be a defender. In the Seattle game, there were a couple interceptions there. The ball was off line, but as a receiver you've got to get in there and break it up."

Add this to Rice's explanation that the receivers need to do a better job of separating, and one can see the importance of overcoming the likes of Sherman and the Seahawks secondary.

Frank Gore/Carlos Hyde vs. Seattle's Front Seven

The 49ers have struggled to move the ball on the ground in recent contests versus Seattle. While running back Frank Gore has had a good career history against the Seahawks, their defense has been able to bottle him up over the last two contests in which these teams have faced each other.

In Week 13, Gore netted only 28 yards on 10 carries. 

Frank Gore's last two games against the Seahawks totaled: 21 carries 42 yards 2.0 yards per carry

— Brian Nemhauser (@hawkblogger) November 28, 2014

Getting Gore and No. 2 back Carlos Hyde their respective touches will not be enough. The O-line will have to win the battles at the line of scrimmage and open up the holes necessary for San Francisco's runners to exploit the gaps.

Doing this against the top-ranked Seahawks defense won't be easy, but an effective running game has to be a part of the equation.

Colin Kaepernick vs. Himself

Back-to-back losses in Weeks 13 and 14 have highlighted all that is wrong with Kaepernick in 2014. The inconsistent performances, poor decision-making, lack of poise within the pocket and overall inaccuracy have fueled this discussion.

All of it boiled over during Kaepernick's press conference following the 49ers' loss to the Raiders.

But football is about more than physical attributes. It's a mental challenge as well. Hopefully his most recent presser suggests that the quarterback has turned a page and will approach this contest with a more positive mindset.

Still, Kaepernick's career efforts against Seattle have proven to be his Achilles' heel. He owns a career-49.5 quarterback rating against the Seahawks—the lowest out of any opponent in which Kaepernick has faced at least twice. Seven interceptions against only two touchdowns further reinforce his problems here.

Yet Kaepernick's biggest obstacle in Week 15 won't be the Seahawks defense. It will be himself. Can he overcome all that has been said about him? Can he figure out a way to maintain the mental aspect of the game over 60 minutes?

That will be the true test.

49ers' X-Factors of the Week: Jim Harbaugh and Greg Roman

Ultimately, the game plan falls upon the players to properly execute and contribute at a high level.

But the job of a coaching staff calls for the ability to put players in the best position to succeed. In this, the offensive combination of Harbaugh and Greg Roman has not done well in recent weeks. 

Most of the blame will fall upon Roman. This is his offense, and it's not performing well. Yet each one of the calls goes through Harbaugh, where he can approve or change the plays as he sees fit. The success of these efforts have been lackluster at best since Week 11 and prior.

There was a time when the 49ers could outcoach other teams. But that ability has been lost in 2014. 

Whatever has happened, both Harbaugh and Roman will have to put forth their best efforts in a place that has not been kind to San Francisco in recent contests.

Prediction

Russell Wilson and Kaepernick will square off one more time in 2014.
Russell Wilson and Kaepernick will square off one more time in 2014.

Divisional contests between heated rivals usually bring out the best in both teams. 

That was supposed to be the case when San Francisco and Seattle squared off at Levi's Stadium in Week 13. Instead, fans received a lackluster, uninspired showing from the 49ers offense and a defense that simply could not hold the line long enough to make it a worthwhile spectacle.

One could make the argument that Week 15 will be different, given that nothing is guaranteed at the NFL level. But the context suggests that the Seahawks should have little trouble with a floundering 49ers team that has lost its way.

These problems stretch beyond what is happening on the field. To what degree the front-office drama has affected the players themselves remains up for debate. Yet the shadow cast upon the team does not bode well facing a surging Seahawks.

But there are those who feel this game could sway more toward the tough, hard-fought battles that have encompassed this rivalry at times before.

Pete Carroll is one such person who feels this way:

Carroll: "No one knows how this story will be written at this point. They (49ers) are always a difficult team." #SFvsSEA

— Seattle Seahawks (@Seahawks) December 10, 2014

Frank Gore is another:

#49ers Frank Gore to Seattle media: "Hopefully we get out there and give them boys a good game." #Seahawks

— Eric Branch (@Eric_Branch) December 11, 2014

Perhaps Gore's sentiments are the best thing 49ers fans can hope for at this point.

There isn't any doubt that the Seahawks, especially at home, are better than the 49ers right now. On- and off-the-field issues have done San Francisco in—likely costing the team any shot at making it into the postseason.

But that chance still lives. Plus, there is that statement to be made. 

Even if San Francisco loses this game, the 49ers could at least come out and play this contest in the fashion that was depicted in the NFC Championship a season ago. That was a hard-fought matchup, resembling nothing like the lackluster effort seen on Thanksgiving.

The realistic, hopeful prediction sways this way. Yet to suggest San Francisco pulls off a win here is simply too far a reach.

Prediction: 49ers 10, Seahawks 24

All statistics, injuries, records and accolades courtesy of Pro-Football-Reference.com unless otherwise indicated. 

Peter Panacy is a featured columnist for Bleacher Report, covering the San Francisco 49ers. Be sure to check out his entire archive on 49ers' news, insight and analysis.

Follow him @PeterPanacy on Twitter.

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