Ranking Every Superstar's Chances of Winning WWE Elimination Chamber Matches
The Road to WrestleMania 41 began at the Royal Rumble, but Elimination Chamber will be just as important for those hoping to compete at The Show of Shows.
Six men and six women will step into the Elimination Chamber on March 1 to compete for the opportunity to fight for a world title at WrestleMania.
John Cena, CM Punk, Seth Rollins, Drew McIntyre, Damian Priest and Logan Paul will clash for a shot at undisputed WWE champion Cody Rhodes.
Liv Morgan, Bianca Belair, Bayley, Alexa Bliss, Naomi and Roxanne Perez will face off with an opportunity on the line to battle women's world champion Rhea Ripley.
However, not everyone stepping into the Chamber has the same chance of earning that WrestleMania spotlight at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas on April 19-20.
The following is a complete ranking for the men's and women's Elimination Chamber matches based on who is most likely to win and challenge the world champions.
Women's No. 6: Naomi
Anyone in the women's Elimination Chamber could win, but Naomi comes off as a distant sixth place in this group due to her current status on SmackDown.
Since her return to WWE action a year ago, she has felt like a side character in other competitors' story.
Naomi has been involved with Bayley, Bianca Belair and Jade Cargill, but she has yet to become a star in her own right.
As one half of the women's tag team champions, she will likely compete at WrestleMania in some capacity, but it is hard to bet on her to win on March 1.
And if she did drop the tag titles before Elimination Chamber, it feels far more likely WWE is setting up her tag team partner to rise instead of The Glow.
Perhaps a win could lead to a dramatic heel turn for Naomi on the road to WrestleMania, but she would need to step up her game in and out of the ring to prove worthy of that spot.
Men's No. 6: Logan Paul
Who is Logan Paul in WWE? His all-time rookie run is over, and his first championship reign was mostly forgettable.
He has the crowd against him in a way few can match, though his talent in the ring is hard to argue against.
However, the social media star is still in an Elimination Chamber match with five former world champions, and he looks like the odd man out.
This could be a major moment for The Maverick to step up, and it would not be surprising if he survived until near the end to make his statement.
In the end, though, Paul is the least interesting opponent for Cody Rhodes on this list.
The two men already fought for the Undisputed WWE Championship in 2024 and have not added enough to their characters to make a compelling rematch yet.
Women's No. 5: Roxanne Perez
Roxanne Perez may not be a household name yet, but that is about to change.
After her record-breaking run in the women's Rumble match, she made her full transition to the main roster by defeating Raquel Rodriguez and qualifying for the Elimination Chamber.
The Prodigy is only 23 years old, yet she has already broken records in NXT with her title reigns and regular PLE appearances.
She is a workhorse who will make the most of her opportunities in WWE, but it still seems unlikely the company would give her a Women's World Championship shot at WrestleMania already.
In her slow transition to the main roster, Perez has feuded with Bayley, and that story is likely to go into WrestleMania.
A match with Rhea Ripley would be a bold move with The Prodigy. Even if she may be ready, the chances are slim that she will get there right away.
Men's No. 5: Damian Priest
Of everyone in the men's Elimination Chamber, Damian Priest is the most recent world champion, coming off his first reign with the World Heavyweight Championship.
During that run, The Archer of Infamy certainly leveled up, working with top names in the business with confidence and poise.
Finally breaking away from The Judgment Day, Priest could be an interesting dark-horse challenger for Cody Rhodes.
Selling that match as a WrestleMania headliner feels too strong, though. Priest is still not at that level where he could confidently sell a 'Mania main event.
The options are especially too strong ahead of him in the Chamber. That does not mean that Rhodes vs. Priest won't be a major match in 2025 at some point, though.
Women's No. 4: Alexa Bliss
Alexa Bliss is back. After a two-year hiatus, The Goddess returned in the 2025 women's Royal Rumble match to the surprise of many.
No one in the match received a bigger reaction for their return than Bliss, and she will remain one of WWE's most popular female Superstars in 2025.
After two years away, though, a question lingers: How ready is she to get back to action?
She did work 10 minutes with Candice LeRae on SmackDown, but Bliss has yet to look like her best self in the ring.
If there is any doubt of her ability to compete at a top level, she will not fight Rhea Ripley at WrestleMania.
Still, everything is up in the air with The Goddess. Will she align with The Wyatt Sicks on SmackDown? What goals does she have in this new run?
It's hard to discount a five-time women's champion, but the story is not quite lining up for her to jump the line for a shot at Mami.
Men's No. 4: Seth Rollins
It is pretty easy to sell Cody Rhodes vs. Seth Rollins. The two men delivered a classic feud upon The American Nightmare's WWE return.
Enough time has passed to make a rematch intriguing, as both are in much different places than they were three years ago.
In fact, Rhodes and Rollins were allies just last year at WrestleMania 40, and The Visionary is teasing a fascinating heel turn when the time is right.
All of that said, Rollins' focus may be too divided to face Rhodes at The Show of Shows this year. He clearly set his sights on Roman Reigns after the two men cost each other the Royal Rumble in February.
He was also a thorn in CM Punk's side for a while, and the two have more left to deliver in their rivalry.
A match with Reigns or Punk seems more likely for The Visionary than going after The American Nightmare.
If Rollins did win the men's Elimination Chamber, his match with Rhodes would likely turn into a Triple Threat or even a Fatal 4-Way involving Punk and/or Reigns as well.
Women's No. 3: Liv Morgan
The story of Rhea Ripley vs. Liv Morgan has dominated the WWE women's division for the past year. These two may be forever entangled after 2024.
The Australian was the reason for Morgan's heel turn and ultimately her rise to the Women's World Championship.
It's time to move on, though. Ripley definitively dethroned Morgan at the Raw on Netflix premiere on January 6.
Since then, the former champion has been seeking a clear direction while still stuck in conflict with Ripley.
It would not be shocking if WWE gave Morgan the Elimination Chamber win, but it would be a disappointment. The far more interesting path is for Morgan and Raquel Rodriguez to take the Women's Tag Team Championship.
The women's division needs a fresh angle at the top, and it will not come with a Morgan victory on March 1.
Men's No. 3: Drew McIntyre
No heel in WWE today is as compelling as Drew McIntyre. He can sell any match or rivalry on the microphone and back it up in the ring.
The Scot is a bruiser who can work any pace and any style. His feud with CM Punk remains WWE's top highlight post-WrestleMania 40.
A rivalry with Cody Rhodes in 2025 is almost a given now that both are on SmackDown. They have a wealth of history to explore, including a tag team run in 2010.
WWE has done little to tease this story as an immediate priority, but it is hard to imagine they won't tangle at some point.
Currently, though, it seems more likely The Scottish Warrior will feud with Damian Priest or LA Knight on the Road to WrestleMania.
It would be a welcome surprise if McIntyre did win the Elimination Chamber, and both he and Rhodes would deliver their best work to show they are worthy of the 'Mania spotlight together.
Women's No. 2: Bayley
No one has done more for women's wrestling in the past few years than Bayley. Her selfless focus to elevate her competition and partners has made her one of WWE's most important stars.
This is why The Role Model won the 2024 women's Royal Rumble and went on to claim her fourth women's world championship. It's why she is the first-ever Triple Crown and Grand Slam women's champion.
However, this all comes with the caveat that Bayley is not the same competitor she once was in the ring.
As one of the legendary Four Horsewomen of WWE, she was revered as a premium in-ring talent, but many have surpassed her over the past few years.
For every great match with Iyo Sky and Bianca Belair, she has struggled to work confidently with the likes of Nia Jax and Naomi.
Perhaps she just needs the right opponent, and Ripley is an intriguing opponent for Bayley. The two have only ever wrestled once, one-on-one on the March 20, 2023 edition of Raw.
This is a fresh story that might be able to elevate both women if they can find their chemistry as rivals.
It's just down to how much WWE wants to focus on Bayley's rivalry with Roxanne Perez. That could take precedence for the future of the women's division.
Men's No. 2: CM Punk
CM Punk wants to main-event WrestleMania. Everyone has said it over and over. It is a point WWE will keep hammering home until he does.
As time passes, though, the likelihood of The Second City Saint main-eventing WrestleMania 41 becomes less likely. Winning the men's Elimination Chamber is likely his last chance.
Cody Rhodes and Punk sold the possibility of a rivalry between them just before the Royal Rumble PLE. It's a battle etched in history as well as a possible passing of the torch.
Still, there is lingering doubt about Punk's 'Mania plans. His feud with Seth Rollins remains unresolved, and his conflict with Roman Reigns is growing as well.
Unless Rollins vs. Reigns is the one-on-one plan for The Show of Shows, he will have trouble escaping the shadow of those two top Superstars.
Of all the options, though, Punk's challenge to Rhodes feels like the easiest sell for 'Mania and a guarantee that The Best in the World will finally main-event The Show of Shows.
Women's No. 1: Bianca Belair
Bianca Belair has spent the past year elevating the women's tag team division as much as she can, but she remains one of WWE's most legitimate top female stars.
She and Rhea Ripley came to the main roster from NXT around the same time and have become top names while avoiding directly clashing.
This is the rare fresh money match for the women's division, and The EST of WWE could be perfectly positioned to jump right into the main event scene after dropping the tag titles to Liv Morgan and Raquel Rodriguez.
Since no one is an obvious favorite to win the women's Elimination Chamber, the best answer should slowly but surely become the correct answer as well.
Ripley vs. Belair is a perfect matchup on paper beyond both women remaining fan favorites at present. That could be an interesting tension though and help turn The EST heel.
Belair has needed a heel run since before she lost the WWE Women's Championship. Making that a central story into WrestleMania would give the women a massive spotlight.
Men's No. 1: John Cena
The Elimination Chamber has always been a special contest for the legacy of John Cena. Only Triple H has won more times in the structure than The GOAT (4-3).
While The Cenation Leader has not appeared much for WWE yet in 2025, that is likely to change on the Road to WrestleMania. But his plans need to be solidified first.
Logically, Cena stepping into the Elimination Chamber with four younger high-performing main event stars would mean he is the underdog.
None of that matters when it comes to Cena, though. He is the man WWE has positioned as The GOAT, the man no one can easily beat.
While Drew McIntyre and CM Punk would be fitter options to face Cody Rhodes, who is the biggest box-office attraction?
Fans who may have skipped the event otherwise will come to WrestleMania 41 to see Cena fight Rhodes.
Is this the best match for either man at 'Mania? Arguably not, but it's hard to imagine WWE considering any other option to headline The Show of Shows right now.