2010 R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl: Troy vs. Ohio Preview and Prediction
The Troy Trojans are the "Boise State" of the Sun Belt Conference, winning at least a share of it for five straight years. I think they are a program on the rise, and with good recruiting, have the athletes to continue to win. They have often represented the Sun Belt in the New Orleans Bowl, appearing three of the last five years. Ohio is 0-4 all time in bowl games, but is another program on the rise.
Troy was challenged a bit more than usual this season in conference play, having lost a couple to Sun Belt opponents. Troy relies heavily on Corey Robinson spreading the field with the passing game. He produces points, but could be safer with the ball. Robinson tends to be a streaky passer, so watch out if he gets hot, but shield your eyes if the defense rattles him. Shawn Southward, DuJaun Harris, and Chris Anderson have led the running attack.
Ohio is a very solid football team. They don't "wow" anybody with big plays, fancy offense, or exotic blitz packages. Losses to Toledo and Kent State cost them a trip to the MAC Championship. To be successful the team needs to focus on their seven game win streak. During that stretch, Vince Davidson and Phil Bates split carries en route to over 1000 yards. Quarterback Boo Jackson can kill you with his legs and solid arm strength. However, he needs to limit the turnovers, which seem to come in clutch situations and stood out during Ohio's loses. Terrence McCrae will need to get open early and often, as he's really the only consistent red zone threat on his team's group of wide-outs.
Prediction
These teams are offensive opposites, with Troy passing better, and Ohio a force on the ground attack. Troy gives up 31 points a game this season, Ohio only gives up 22 on average. I think this game is a shoot out that Ohio slowly takes over by the fourth quarter with clock management and slightly better defense.
Ohio- 32 Troy-24