USWNT vs. Japan: Top Storylines and Predictions for 2025 SheBelieves Cup

The United States women's national team will try to win its eighth SheBelieves Cup title on Wednesday against Japan.
The Americans typically played well in the annual four-team tournament on home soil. The 2025 edition has featured a similar level of control from the USWNT.
Emma Hayes' side picked up two wins in the first two games over Colombia and Australia, as did Japan.
Wednesday's winner will come away with the tournament crown. The Americans have to win because Japan takes the event title with a draw due to a superior goal difference.
USWNT vs. Japan
Date: Wednesday, February 26
Start Time: 10:30 p.m. ET
TV: TBS
Live Stream: Max
Top Storylines to Watch
Japan looked like the better team through two games at the SheBelieves Cup.
The Asian side posted four goals on both Colombia and Australia. Mina Tanaka scored a pair of goals each victory.
The USWNT only posted two goals in each of its victories over the last week, and that means it must win to come away with the tournament crown.
Japan enters Wednesday with a +7 goal differential, which is four better than the Americans' number. Goal differential is the first tiebreaker to determine the champion.
The Americans won the last five SheBelieves Cup titles. Japan participated in three of those five tournaments and had a second-place finish in 2023.
The level of competition varies from year to year in the event, but it was clear from the start that Japan was the USWNT's toughest competition. Japan is the second-best team in the field according to the FIFA women's world rankings.
Japan's squad, like the one the USWNT brought to the tournament, carries a mixture of experienced players and young stars looking to break through on the international level .
Mina Tanaka falls into the former category. She has 39 goals in 86 international appearances and will likely finish as the tournament's leading scorer.
The USWNT defense needs to slow down the Utah Royals forward in order to keep a clean sheet and let its young attack win the game for it.
Emily Sonnett, Lindsey Heaps, Catarina Macario and Jenna Nighswonger all were rested in the USWNT's win over Australia. They should all start on Wednesday.
Heaps will be tasked with controlling the midfield, as always, to slow down the Japanese attacking flow. Nighswonger and Sonnett are part of a defensive unit that is the most experienced part of the USWNT squad.
Macario should have a heavy influence in attack. She has been directly involved in nine goals over her last six USWNT starts, per Opta.
Macario could be the USWNT's most important player on Wednesday because she can be the link between Heaps and a young attack that possesses four players with under 10 international appearances.
A win on home soil is always expected for the Americans, but this one will be tougher to produce given how well Japan's attack performed so far in the tournament.
Prediction
United States 2, Japan 1