Floyd Mayweather, Jr. (42-0, 26 KOs) will take on Miguel Cotto (37-2, 30 KOs) on Saturday at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas, NV. Despite all the buzz about this fight, in the end it may not be that competitive, proving a disappointment to fans who want to see a great match-up.
Mayweather might have been a star wide receiver for one of the best teams in the NFL if his father and namesake never taught him to box when he was young. As a fan of the New England Patriots, I would venture to bet Floyd could do a much better job as a wideout than Chad Ochocinco...if only Floyd's chosen sport was football instead of boxing.
It also might be a good thing for Floyd that some of the best boxers who might have challenged his top-tier pound-for-pound position never went into boxing. Instead, many sought out a better chance to make a higher salary in more mainstream American sports.
Meanwhile, Mayweather made boxing pay off, bringing the American welterweight division to new heights as heavyweight boxing became dominated by two Russian brothers named Klitschko.
Miguel Cotto represents the role of the Rocky Balboa underdog, fighting for a chance to make boxing history while many experts overlook his chances to win, place or show. A victory for Cotto would absolutely revolutionize the sport of boxing as we know it. Cotto has the muscle, the heart, the quiet confidence and the raw power to win the fight, but his opponent may never let him use any of it.
Mayweather, like "Ivan Drago" in Rocky IV, is not a machine. He can be beaten, but Cotto is not looking like the guy who can get close enough to "Money" to make a dent in Junior's defense.
Maybe he'll prove me wrong and find a way, but it just doesn't seem possible after watching Mayweather's recent performances. Floyd's last fight may have been more of a circus than a boxing match, but there was a reason Ortiz had to resort to headbutting. Mayweather was in control for nearly the entire fight.
Before that, Mayweather laid waste to Shane Mosley in one of his most aggressive days at the office in recent memory. Suddenly he was not shying from battle but pressing the action. It was a new look to Mayweather that he's come to embrace while opening up his life to the press like no other athlete in history.
One theme that might be overlooked in the analysis of this fight is the father factor. Cotto is still recovering from the loss of his father, which is illustrated in last week's 24/7 episode.
Mayweather recently reconciled once again with his father, though they still seem to have a tense relationship. Mayweather had a special moment in the ring with his father before the Mosley fight. It was a fight in which it was hard to pick out any point where Mayweather was moving backward.
Mayweather is in love with one thing more than money, and that's control. He knows how far he's come since he was just a kid with a dream, and he wants to make sure he never goes back to having nothing but skill and time to develop his natural talent. He can't afford to lose all that momentum with one sloppy mistake.
Having his father back in his corner helps put Floyd's mind at ease and eliminates another distraction for the press to harp on. Floyd Senior also seems to be more low key now in his son's gym than he was when Floyd Junior blew up on him.
Everything seems to be cool with Mayweather if he's setting the schedule, the pace and the agenda. Money, power and control have allowed this undefeated, wealthy and flamboyant boxer to make his own path to fame.
Cotto is an opponent Mayweather will control from bell to bell Saturday night. The Puerto Rican warrior will go down swinging, but he'll go down. Mayweather is too good and too unwilling to slack off and let someone steal his legacy for one bad night of work.
The real question is whether or not Cotto can go the distance.
Mayweather obviously hand-picked Cotto for May 5th because he didn't really want to risk fighting fellow undefeated fighter Saul Canelo Alvarez (39-0-1, 29 KOs).
Rumored at first to be the man Floyd would face instead of Pacquiao on Cinco De Mayo, Golden Boy Promotions would instead put Alvarez in the co-main-event slot against Shane Mosley, a yardstick to see if Floyd might be better off fighting Alvarez next.
Fighting Cotto also fuels more speculation on whether Mayweather and Pacquiao will ever sign a deal to fight each other. After all, Pacquiao is one of the only men to beat Cotto other than Antonio Margarito, who was later found to have illegally altered hand wraps for their original fight. Cotto destroyed Margarito in the rematch.
Mayweather is obviously going into this fight wanting to dispatch Cotto in less time than Pacquiao did it. He'll be looking for the knockout in the later rounds. He knows he can beat Cotto, and he should, but Cotto seems to have so much more to fight for.
Perhaps that's why there's less trash talk this time out. Mayweather is more humble, a tad more restrained in badmouthing his opponent and full of praise for what Cotto's been able to do in his career.
As much as I like to see an underdog pull off a miracle, I just don't see this fight being all that entertaining. I think Mayweather has all the tools to keep Cotto plodding aimlessly around the ring, missing every major combination, while Mayweather uses his reach and superior speed to win every round.
The real fight to watch is the one that will be made after this one, whether Mayweather decides to finally fight Pacquiao or put in one more gem against Alvarez before signing the Pacquiao bout on a high note.
Either prospect is exciting, and if it's not Pacquiao, Mayweather will still win out. He'll be the first to admit he feeds off the haters out there. He knows having lots of friends sometimes means having even more enemies. Still, he's told reporters on countless occasions, that means he's "relevant."
For him, that's what's most important, because being relevant means he's moving forward and making money. He would never pick an opponent like Cotto if he wasn't 100 percent sure he would win that fight easily.
Mayweather is wealthy and successful for a reason. He's smart. He's moved along in his career in a manner that always has him in the mix when the pound-for-pound-best discussion comes up.
He retired and came back even better, and he's considered the most famous fighter in boxing these days.
As his real character emerges on film, we also begin to realize he isn't always comfortable with the spotlight and would love to go to a mall without being recognized for once. He's human, and he has his faults and weaknesses as well as his strengths.
Mayweather has to win Saturday night, because he has to fight Manny Pacquiao before he retires, but he's smart enough to know timing the fight correctly is essential.
He wants Pacquiao at the end of the Philippino's career. He wants to watch Pacquiao put through another war or two before he takes his chances.
For all Mayweather's fire and brimstone assurances that he doesn't need to fight Pacquiao, in the back of his mind he knows that reaction is just going to make more fans and members of the press make more calls for the fight to be made.
He's smart enough to know that steadily snowballing hype, combined with the rate of boxing inflation over the next year or so, makes delaying the super fight the best move as far as getting the most lucrative financial return from signing that bout.
As long as the Mayweather vs. Pacquiao fight is a possibility, Floyd Mayweather, Jr. is relevant. Boxing becomes relevant as a result, and the sports pundits get tons of chances to keep talking about who might win the fight (if by some miracle it actually happens).
Still, there comes a point where enough money has to be put on the table for both fighters to say yes, and that day may be fast approaching if Mayweather wins on Saturday and Pacquiao beats Bradley in June.