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New Mexico Bowl -- and The Winner Is......

Dec 19, 2009

The first game of the bowl schedule will put Fresno St up against the Cowboys from Wyoming. Fresno St will be making its second trip to the New Mexico bowl in as many years and the first game should be a good one. 

Fresno St finished the season with a last minute thrilling win against Illinois and now has to try and get excited for a bowl game that they played in last year against a team that just finished .500 on the regular season.  

Wyoming just finished 6-6 on the season but don’t them that they don’t belong in a bowl game. This is the first bowl game they have had since 2004 and they feel they deserve this game. This team did not only expect to be in this game they expect to win it!

 "It's a complete 180," senior linebacker Weston Johnson said on how far this team has come. "The mentality this team has now is coming out and expecting to win games like this. Not just hoping to win."

 Wyoming has been a great bet all year long as they have taken in the cash at an 8-3 clip on the season. Fresno has been a great ATS team too but if defense wins ballgames than Fresno backers are in big trouble. They have given up an average of 44 points per game in the last three games and almost 500 passing yards per game. The Wyoming offense is not that great but they will look like they are against the Bulldog defense. The Bulldogs are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game and 9-26 ATS in their last 35 games on grass. The Cowboys are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 non-conference games and 27-13 ATS in their last 40 games following an ATS win. This is just too many points to give to Wyoming with a Fresno team that does not play defense and does not care to play in this game again.  

Wyoming +10

More college football sportsbetting picks: www.regawworld.com


Fresno State-Wyoming: New Mexico Bowl Picks

Dec 19, 2009

The 2009 College Football bowl season kicks off Saturday, Dec. 19, with the Fresno State Bulldogs against the Wyoming Cowboys in the New Mexico Bowl. The first bowl game can be watched live on ESPN from Albuquerque, New Mexico as the Bulldogs and Cowboys play on the grass field.

Saturday’s New Mexico Bowl game will be the 10th bowl that Fresno State has played in over the last 11 years. The oddsmakers currently have the Bulldogs favored by just 10 points after the line opened favoring them by 12 points earlier this week.

The posted total for this bowl game is sitting at 55 points so the bookmakers expect a high-scoring game Saturday afternoon. The Fresno State Bulldogs have not had much success in bowl games with eight consecutive bowl game losses. WAC teams that have allowed 35 points or more in their last game are just 4-17 SU (straight up) in their next game. This betting trend does not look good for the Bulldogs who allowed 52 points in their last game.

The Wyoming Cowboys have covered the spread in all three of their last bowl games against teams with winning records of .750 or less.

The Cowboys defense needs to shut down the nation's leading rusher Ryan Mathews (who averaged 151.7 rushing yards per game this season) if they expect to keep this game close. Cowboys kicker Ian Watts kicked a field goal to give his team the win over Colorado State and a spot in the New Mexico bowl and he will be used plenty in Saturday's game.

Consider betting the "Under 55" in this bowl game Saturday since Fresno State will try to control the tempo of the game with Ryan Mathews on the ground.

Check out our expert's picks for the New Mexico Bowl and come out on the winning side Saturday afternoon.

Related posts:

Capital One Bowl Odds: LSU vs. Penn State Picks

NCAA Football Betting – St. Petersburg Bowl Preview

BYU vs Wyoming College Football Picks

Fresno State-Wyoming: New Mexico Bowl Preview and Predictions

Dec 16, 2009

New Mexico Bowl: Dec. 19, 2009 | 4:30 PM EST on ESPN

Fresno State Bulldogs (8-4) v. Wyoming Cowboys (6-6)

Opening Line: Fresno State -10.5

Game Preview: If you are going to play in an inconsequential bowl game, it is probably better to be early in the bowl season. This way your team hasn't gotten too out of rhythm and can stay reasonably motivated even though the opponent might not be exciting.

This should be the case for the New Mexico Bowl. One the one hand, Wyoming is likely thrilled to be in a bowl game. They do not often play in the postseason even though it seems that almost every team goes bowling. On the other, Fresno prides itself as being a bit bigger than its station and is willing to challenge anybody, anytime, anywhere. Can they get up for a face off with the Cowboys? That is a primary concern in handicapping this game.

Fresno State Preview: The Bulldogs love to run the ball. Ryan Matthews has been on fire almost all year, averaging over 100 yards a game. They can also balance their attack when need be, but with Pat Hill at the helm, they are not against running it down your throat.

Unfortunately, their defense doesn't always hold up its end of the bargain. As much as they can run the ball they are easy to run on, giving up over 200 yards a game. Despite their lack of defensive might it is hard to see this game becoming a back and forth running contest.

Wyoming Preview: Kudos to the Cowboys for grabbing the six victories needed to be bowl eligible. Four of their six losses were to Top 25 teams, including two of the current unbeatens Texas and TCU. These blowouts skew their stats dramatically, but the fact is they have only outgained one opponent all season—San Diego State.

This wreaks of a team that has been very lucky and/or opportunistic, which might not carry over to the post-season. The fact that they do not have a lot of experience with bowl games should make bettors nervous too. The Cowboys might just be happy to leave Wyoming in Winter.

Game Prediction: I don't expect this one to be close. Fresno will do what it does best and ride Matthews early and often. I think it will be 14-0 at the end of one and not get any closer than that throughout the contest. Wyoming may be improving, but the Bulldogs will be too much to handle similar to the other good teams that are on their schedule.

Score Prediction: Fresno State 42, Wyoming 17

Pick: Grab the Bulldogs but do it soon as I think this will go up as game time approaches.

Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Trends:

Fresno State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Fresno State's last 6 games
  • Fresno State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Fresno State's last 6 games

Wyoming Cowboys Betting Trends:

  • Wyoming is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
  • Wyoming is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Wyoming's last 9 games

CLICK HERE FOR FREE BOWL PICKS

New Mexico Bowl Preview: Fresno State, Wyoming Renewing Old Rivalry

Dec 16, 2009

The Fresno State Bulldogs won't have any distractions hanging over there head in the days leading up to their showdown against the Wyoming Cowboys in the New Mexico Bowl.

Head coach Pat Hill, with several rumors floating around of his inevitable departure, learned on Sunday night that his contract would be extended by the university. Though the terms and years are not yet known, it does mean that Hill will be pacing the sidelines for at least another few years.

These teams have faced each other six times, the last coming in 1997, each winning three games on their respective home fields. The two teams will meet in Albuquerque, NM this weekend to face each other once again in what could be a one-sided affair.

The Bulldogs (8-4, 6-2) are coming off a hard fought victory over the University of Illinois on a miraculous, almost improbable, two point conversion that lifted Fresno State to a 53-52 victory as time expired.

They've hung tough with teams like Wisconsin, conference rival Boise State, and Cincinnati, all of whom are ranked in the Top 20. The Bulldogs could have pulled out victories in two of those games but couldn't find a way to win either of them.

As for the Wyoming Cowboys (6-6, 4-4), they will return to the postseason for the first time since 2004 when they defeated UCLA 24-21 in the Las Vegas Bowl.

They're coming off a tough season that saw them score 10 points or less in six of their twelve games, including getting shut out in three of those.

The Bulldogs tout All American running back Ryan Mathews, a guy who led the nation in rushing for most of the season until he suffered a concussion against Nevada. With Wyoming's defense giving up 170.5 rushing yards per game, it could be just what Mathews needs to show off his ability once more before possibly declaring for the NFL draft after the season is over.

The Bulldogs come into this game averaging 34.3 points per game to Wyoming's 16.9 points per game. Looking at numbers alone makes it look like a blowout for the Bulldogs before the game is even played.

But before we get too ahead of ourselves, take a look at the two teams defensively and you might see them more evenly matched than at first glance.

The Bulldog defense is giving up 27.8 points per game where Wyoming is giving up 27.6 points per game, a 0.2 point per game difference. Though looking at those numbers can fool you because Wyoming's offense is so anemic.

The Bulldogs have something to prove, especially after losing last year's New Mexico Bowl 40-35 to Colorado State and losing two of their last three bowl games dating back to 2005.

This should be a huge day for the Fresno State offense and possibly a going away party for running back Ryan Mathews. One more chance for him to showcase his talents to NFL scouts.

The Bulldogs might be so far ahead to allow freshman quarterback Derek Carr to give Fresno State fans a glimpse of what's to come next season.

Prediction: Fresno State 41  Wyoming 17

Wyoming Cowboys vs. TCU Horned Frogs Preview

Nov 19, 2009

The Wyoming Cowboys (5-5) host the No. 4 TCU Horned Frogs (10-0) this Saturday at War Memorial Stadium at 12:00PM MT. Here is a preview of this Mountain West matchup along with a prediction.

When the Cowboys run:

Wyoming’s running game got back on track last week against San Diego State with 200 yards, but unfortunately for the Cowboys, TCU’s defense is on another level. With a front seven featuring two future high round draft picks in DE Jerry Hughes and LB Daryl Washington, Wyoming will be lucky to get anywhere near 100 yards in this game.

EDGE: HORNED FROGS


When the Cowboys pass:

TCU ranks sixth in the nation allowing only 157 passing yards per game, while Wyoming averages just over 200 yards per game passing. Cowboy QB Austyn Carta-Samuels did pass the ball for 246 yards last week, but TCU will make the Pokes one dimensional by taking away the run, making it that much harder for the Cowboys to move the ball through the air.

EDGE: HORNED FROGS


When the Horned Frogs run:

TCU has a rotation of RBs that have put up about 1,600 yards so far this season. This doesn’t bode well for Wyoming, who last week couldn’t stop San Diego State from running the ball even though the Aztecs only averaged 2.6 yards per rush heading into the game. TCU will run the ball early and often, making it a long day for the Wyoming defense.

EDGE: HORNED FROGS

When the Horned Frogs pass:

Even though TCU is a run-based team, QB Andy Dalton does a good enough job throwing the ball that the Horned Frogs are very balanced this year. Wyoming has not defended the pass very well this year and with Wyoming focusing primarily on the running game, TCU should be able to make some plays by throwing the ball.

EDGE: HORNED FROGS

Special Teams

If this game is somehow close, special teams could make the difference and that could help Wyoming. The two kickers, Ian Watts (WY) and Ross Evans (TCU), have comparable stats but Wyoming’s punting game has a leg up, with Austin McCoy ranking 17th in the nation in net punting using the rugby style kick. TCU is like Virginia Tech, though, and the Frogs are able to block kicks when needed, so this matchup is a draw.

EDGE: EVEN


Coaching

Dave Christensen is doing a great job with the talent he has this year, but Gary Patterson truly is a great coach and it is a minor miracle that TCU has been able to keep him for this long.

EDGE:  HORNED FROGS


Prediction

Crazy things can happen in the high altitude of Laramie, but nothing too crazy for a Wyoming team that is a 31-point 'dog. It will be all TCU all the time.

 Horned Frogs 43, Cowboys 10

Cowboy Rewind: Wyoming Overcomes Aztecs Late In Game

Nov 16, 2009

With a flurry of points in the fourth quarter the Wyoming Cowboys overcame a 27-6 deficit defeating San Diego State 30-27, earning their first victory on the road against the Aztecs since 1995. Wyoming is now 5-5 for the year and has two games left this season (at home vs. TCU, on the road vs. CSU) to attain one more victory to become bowl eligible. Here is a review of the game:

 

Three Things I Liked

Run, Run, Run:

As mentioned in the preview of the game it was important for Wyoming to commit to the running game. Unlike many spread offenses, the system Wyoming runs is well suited to the running game and balance is needed if the offense is to be successful. The Pokes have averaged 186.4 rushing yards per game in wins this year and only 84.8 yards rushing per game in losses. With 200 yards rushing versus the Aztecs Wyoming was able to wear down SDSU in the fourth quarter allowing the Cowboys to win the game.

 

True Freshmen Power:

Five true freshmen led the way for the Cowboys in this game. Starting QB Austyn Carta-Samuels (246 passing yards and a TD, 51 rushing yards and a TD), RB Alvester Alexander (74 yards and a TD, TE David Tooley (70 receiving yards and a TD), CB Kenny Browder (recovered a muffed kick return), and last but not least, kicker Ian Watts who booted the game winning 43 yard field goal. With these young players and other freshman stepping up and making plays the future of Wyoming football looks brighter.

 

Coaching Influence:

Teams tend to take on the personality of their coach and this game shows that the Cowboys are dialing into the persona of coach Dave Christensen. The former Mizzou offensive coordinator is a no nonsense guy who preaches effort and hard work on every play of the game, after this comeback win it is clear they have bought into his message.

 

A Cause For Concern

 

Ran on, Ran on, Ran on:

The defense allowed 157 rushing yards to an Aztec team who was only averaging 69 yards coming into the game. If Wyoming is to defeat TCU or CSU in the final two games the rush defense must improve especially against TCU who can run over teams at will. It must be noted that Wyoming was shorthanded at LB with injuries to Brian Hendricks (did not play) and Gabe Knapton (saw limited action) so this has a chance to improve if they are able to get healthy in the next few weeks. If not, the other linebackers need to step up and make plays in order for Wyoming to earn one more important victory.

 

 

 

 

 

Wyoming Cowboys Vs. San Diego State Aztecs Preview

Nov 12, 2009

The Wyoming Cowboys (4-5) travel to San Diego to play the Aztecs (4-5) this Saturday at 7:00PM PST. Here is a preview of this Mountain West matchup along with a prediction.

When the Cowboys run:

Wyoming has two solid running backs in Brandon Stewart and Alvester Alexander but in the last few weeks the Cowboys have not made a commitment to the running game. The line has not been blocking well of late but Wyoming will need to run the ball if they are to win in SD for the first time since 1995.

The Aztecs don't have a solid run defense (163.8 YPG, 7th in the MWC) but Wyoming hasn't shown the ability or willingness to run the ball in the last month either.

EDGE: EVEN


When the Cowboys pass:

Wyoming's new spread offense has struggled to throw the ball all year (174 YPG, 8th in MWC) with a true freshman QB (Austyn Carta-Samuels) and a group of unreliable WR's outside of JR David Leonard. SDSU's pass defense ranks fourth in the MWC at just over 200 yards per game so I wouldn't expect Wyoming to be able to make many plays in the passing game.

EDGE: AZTECS 


When the Aztecs run:

SDSU hasn't shown any ability to run the ball this year. They rank last in the MWC totaling a meager 624 yards for the year with an average yards per rush of 2.6. OUCH! Wyoming's run defense is nothing special but the linebackers and safety Chris Prosinsky do a good job generally in run support.

EDGE: COWBOYS


When the Aztecs pass:

Although WR Vincent Brown is out for this game the Aztecs will have a distinct advantage when they put the ball in the air. Wyoming has struggled all year against the pass and coming off a 52-0 loss to BYU and Max Hall, Ryan Lindley second in the MWC in passing (256 YPG) should have a good night.

EDGE: AZTECS


Special Teams

Wyoming and SDSU rank right next to each other in the MWC rankings in every major special teams statistic. This truly is a dead draw and whoever can make the most plays on special teams will probably have the advantage in winning this game.

EDGE: EVEN


Coaching

Both teams have first year head coaches in Dave Christensen and Brady Hoke who have done a little better than expected. SDSU does have an edge though in the coaching department as long time New Mexico head coach Rocky Long is the Aztecs' defensive coordinator who in the past has given Wyoming fits.

EDGE: AZTECS  


Prediction

This has a chance to be a highly competitive game where either team could win if things go the right way. Whatever team comes out and plays with the most hunger will win as both teams are fighting to get to six wins in order to achieve bowl eligibility. In the end I think Wyoming’s inability to throw the ball and stop the pass will hurt them and the Cowboys will fall on the road.

Aztecs 27 Cowboys 13

Wyoming Cowboys Have One Advantage over Texas: Laramie's Altitude

Sep 2, 2009

Laramie, Wyoming is home to the only four-year university in the least populated state in the Union. Therefore, it is also home to the only collegiate football team.

The Wyoming Cowboys call War Memorial Stadium home. There is nothing too special about War Memorial Stadium; it has a field like all other football stadiums, and it also has bleachers on three of the four sides of the field.

However, there are two special things about War Memorial Stadium. First, if the stadium were to sell out, then the stadium actually becomes the third largest city in the state of Wyoming.

Secondly, the stadium and the city of Laramie are located in the foothills of the Sherman Mountains which lay to the east. This gives a unique quality to the University of Wyoming Cowboys.  With a stadium that is located at 7,200 feet above sea level, it is the highest of any in the country.

That is more than 1,920 feet above the mile high city of Denver. So the oxygen in Laramie is not the thickest, and running at full speed, in pads seems to become a challenge in Laramie.

Therefore, when the University of Texas comes to town on September 12, it may not be as easy as some may think for the Longhorns to escape the Cowboy’s lassos.

While the Texas Longhorns are a legitimate contender to play in a BCS bowl game or even the National Championship under the leadership of Colt McCoy, when they come to play the Wyoming Cowboys, they could meet a tougher opponent than the media and others may think, as well as one that some may have overlooked.

Things have definitely changed in Laramie. Last year, coach Joe Glenn—who was supposed to be a savior to the Cowboys when he was hired in December of 2002—was fired.

After six seasons, the Glenn era came to a close after just two winning seasons, and one of those the Cowboys finished with a 6-6 season.

So after losing the annual border war against rival Colorado State, Wyoming made the decision to fire Joe Glenn.

A new coach had to be brought in and that coach was former Missouri assistant coach and offensive coordinator, Dave Christensen.

Christensen is another reason why the Wyoming Cowboys may have a fighting chance at beating the Longhorns.

Being the assistant coach and former offensive coordinator at Missouri, Christensen is familiar with the Longhorns style of football. After all, the Missouri Tigers are a part of the Big 12 (albeit the north division instead of the south division).

The Tigers and Longhorns played last year and Missouri was beat with a final score of 31-56. While this doesn’t give a lot of hope to Wyoming Cowboy fans, it can bring a small glimmer of hope to the Wyoming faithful.

Christensen’s offense (as he was the offensive coordinator for the Tigers) did put up some points to the Texas defense, a defense that could be grasping for air come the 12th of September.

Looking at history, Wyoming has hosted a few big-name teams at the high-altitude of War Memorial Stadium.

In 2004, the year in which the Cowboys would win the Pioneer Las Vegas Bowl, the Cowboys hosted the Ole Miss Rebels. The Rebels, in their first season without quarterback Eli Manning, would lose a heartbreaker 37-32.

The altitude did affect the Rebels in that game, but perhaps not as much as others would like.

In 2007, the Virginia Cavaliers had a horrible time trying to find any offense and therefore, points. Virginia had just five first downs, 103 passing yards, and -3 rushing yards for a total offensive effort of just 100 yards. Time of possession was dominated by the Cowboys with Wyoming having 40:19 worth of ball time compared to the 20 minutes that the Cavaliers had.

The only things that the Cavaliers matched the Cowboys with were turnovers. Both teams had two turnovers in the game.

Virginia would go on to a 9-4 record overall. Wyoming, on the other hand, would slip to a 5-7 record. Obviously the altitude played a part in that game.

Last year the Ohio Bobcats came to the high altitude of War Memorial stadium. While Ohio is certainly no Texas or Virginia, Ohio would lose to the Cowboys 21-20.

It is true that a 21-20 game does not necessarily mean that altitude played a big part in the game, but it doesn’t mean it didn’t. The very next week Ohio played Ohio State who was ranked No. 3 at the time.

Until one minute into the fourth quarter, the Ohio Bobcats were leading the Ohio State Buckeyes. Ohio State would score two touchdowns in the fourth quarter to win the game 26-14. Despite the loss, Ohio played Ohio State very close.

So when the Texas Longhorns come to play the Wyoming Cowboys, it might not be a brutal one-sided game with Texas running up the score to Wyoming.

Since Wyoming has a high altitude and a coach who is familiar with Texas, this could be an interesting game.

As a student at the University of Wyoming, the buzz around campus is focused more on the Texas game than this Saturday’s home game against Weber State. So Texas, despite playing at 7,200 feet above sea level, will also most likely be playing in what will be Wyoming’s third largest city (War Memorial Stadium at full capacity.)

One thing is for sure, if Wyoming is going to win they are going to want to play a very solid game. They could come out with a major upset, especially if the air on September 12th is especially thin.

Making The Rounds: Does BCS Equal The CCCP?

Jun 27, 2009

Jake Schaller The Gazette: Air Force coach Troy Calhoun got pretty mouthy in regards to the BCS and made the comparison to the former Soviet Union.

"We basically have a system for college football that too closely resembles the old Soviet Presidium," Calhoun said referring to the policy making and governing body of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union. 

"You have a seven-member politburo that's decided if you aren't one of those party members, then you're unable to participate."

"You think back to the old Soviet Presidium, and what happened was you told every person, 'Hey, you aren't going to be able to grow a whole lot. We're going to tell you all you can earn.' That was the approach. ... There's a very, very strong resemblance that unfortunately is a part of college football."

These are pretty harsh words yet they do compare to how the BCS works regards to the national title. Plus, I would not want to mess with the guy who is part of the Air Force

KCWY13: Wyoming who is struggling to find wide receiver talent to be able to run Dave Christensen's spread will be in more trouble with the suspension of two wide outs.

"Senior wide receiver Greg Bowling will be suspended for the first two games of the season against Weber State and Texas. Fellow senior wide receiver Donate Morgan will be suspended for the season-opening Weber State game."

The Texas game is 99 percent in favor of the Longhorns, however that Weber State game might be interesting since they are coming of an FCS playoff run.

Lya Wodraska The Salt Lake Tribune: The conference presidents met in Colorado Springs to "look over," a term used loosely, the Mountain West's proposal for a playoff.

"There was no overall support for the proposal, although some conferences were interested in considering certain elements of it in the future—particularly those related to revenue, access, and governance of the BCS arrangement."

Was there any other decision on this?

The "access" part of the quote seems odd, because that is all the Mountain West wants; to find that access, something the conferences were considering.

I assume that the ones who liked the access part of the proposal is from the non-automatic qualifying leagues.

Tim Lemke The Washington Times: The question should be is Utah's Republican Senator going after the BCS to get re-elected or is Hatch truly adamant about the topic.

"You have 50 percent of the schools who are the elite schools. They get almost all of the money, and the other schools, no matter how good they are, don't even have a chance to compete for the national title."

Hard to argue Hatch on his premise, which to date is very true, but his motivation is in question. However all the news about the BCS and the Mountain West is only a good thing to keep it in the front line of the news cycle.

Spring Recap: Wyoming Cowboys

May 19, 2009

Wyoming has a brand new coaching staff who takes over for Coach Joe Glenn, the new staff is former Missouri offensive coordinator Dave Christensen. 

The big news with Wyoming was the injuries, because in the spring game Wyoming had only 53 players who were able to suit up and play in the spring game and had to use alumni in the game to fill out the rosters.

Quarterback is a concern, because in 2008 three quarterbacks were used with Dax Crum, Karsteen Sweed, and Chris Stutzriem. The list was narrowed to two when Stutzriem transferred to Indiana State during the fall.

Currently the starter out of camp is Sween, however two recruits that Christensen brought in could unseat Sween. The two prospects are in coming freshman Austyn Carta-Samuels and junior college transfer Robert Benjamin.

Both were highly regarded from their schools, but the early season nod will go to Sween since he has a leg up from learning the system in the spring.

Offensively the team is learning a spread no-huddle system that propelled Missouri to prominence the past few years, and the way Christensen was able to recruit the success could be sooner then later. 

Junior running back Darius Terry is taking over for the recently departed backs—Wynel Seldon and Devin Moore—and will be incorporated in the short passing game as well as the running game.

The defense is staying untouched, because that was the good part of the Wyoming defense. Wyoming still has a lot of work to do and this spring with hard practices and toughness the Cowboys will soon be back to being competitive in the Mountain West.