Georgia Tech Football

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College Football 2011: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets and ACC Predictions

Jul 31, 2011

A mid-season three-game slide derailed a promising 2010 season for Georgia Tech, leading to a 6-6 regular season record overall and a 4-4 record in ACC play. Part of the unexpected downturn was an injury to quarterback Joshua Nesbitt that ground the Yellow Jackets’ high-powered offense to a halt.

They finished the year ranked first in the nation in rushing yards per game, but 71st in scoring with just 26 points a game. The season ended on a sour note with a 14-7 loss to Air Force in the Independence Bowl.

Coach
This will be Paul Johnson’s fourth season at the helm in a tenure that has included three straight bowl appearances and one ACC title. He met some widespread skepticism for installing a rare triple-option attack on offense, but has been able to prove his doubters wrong when equipped with the proper personnel in the skill positions.

Last season’s 6-7 record did not sit well with Yellow Jacket fans after a highly successful 2009 campaign that saw the program post an 11-2 record, including a 39-34 win over Clemson in the conference title game. The result has been a return to scrutiny of Johnson’s offensive system.

Offense
It will come down to a two-man competition at quarterback in an effort to replace the departed Nesbitt. Tevin Washington should have the inside track after filling in when Nesbitt went down last season, but look for redshirt freshman Synjyn Days to make a strong push for the starting spot once summer camp begins.

Fortunately, this offense is still loaded with talent at the running back position with the return of Roddy Jones, Orwin Smith and Richard Watson. It also returns three starters on the offensive line, including guard Omoregie Uzzi, who was an All-Conference selection last season.

Defense
Defensive Coordinator Al Groh will only have five starters back from last year’s squad and will be faced with replacing the entire secondary.

The defensive line will have the most experience with the return of DE’s Jason Peters and Izaan Cross and DT Logan Walls.

The linebacking corps will be led by Julian Burnett on the inside and Steven Sylvester on the outside of Groh’s 3-4 scheme. Burnett led the team in tackles in 2010 with 89.

2011 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Football Schedule
The Yellow Jackets open the 2011 season with a home game against Western Carolina followed by a road game against Middle Tennessee. Things get a bit more difficult from there with a home game against Kansas and back-to-back games against North Carolina and NC State.

The real meat of the schedule includes an Oct. 22 showdown with the Hurricanes in Miami and then home games against Clemson and Virginia Tech over the next two and a half weeks.

The one break is that Georgia Tech will not have to face Florida State unless the two would meet in the conference title game.

2011 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets BCS and ACC College Football Odds
Georgia Tech has been opened by Bodog as a 150/1 longshot to win this year’s BCS title with five other teams in the ACC having better odds to win it all. Other books have opened the Yellow Jackets at +2500 to win the ACC title in 2011, which is the same as the Wolfpack and only better than Virginia (+5000), Duke (+10000) and Wake Forest (+10000) in the conference.

2011 Georgia Tech Football Predictions
Johnson will have his hands full this season trying to squeeze out enough wins to get his team back to a bowl game for the fourth straight season. The inexperience at the quarterback position in a complicated offensive system along with an untested defensive secondary could lead to another losing year, which would undoubtedly bring some unrest among the Yellow Jacket faithful. Look for Georgia Tech to top out at a 5-7 record overall and a fourth-place finish in the ACC Coastal Division.

Georgia Tech Recruiting: Did Yellow Jackets Sign Future Impact Players?

Feb 8, 2011

Signing day has come and gone, bringing excitement, disappointments and hope. The Yellow Jackets had their share of ups and downs, but it all worked out in the end.

The Georgia Tech football program managed to sign 22 recruits. Even though they did not sign any 5-star recruits, there seemed to be more than enough talent to go around.

I decided to join in the festivities at Georgia Tech’s 2011 Signing Day Celebration at the Twelve Hotel, located in Atlanta’s Atlantic Station. It was a very intimate setting where a few of the fans gathered together to see what new talent has arrived on The Flats.

Wes Durham opened up the night with a few words, and then things got started once coach Paul Johnson came to the podium. He introduced all of the coaching staff and then introduced everyone, via film, to the new faces of the Yellow Jacket team.

One of the recruits with great film was Jabari Hunt-Days from Hillgrove HS in Powder Springs, Ga. He was recruited as a linebacker and was Tech’s lone 4-star recruit (Rivals). Jabari is the younger brother of quarterback Synjyn Days.

Another recruit that seemed to be impressive was Vad Lee out of Hillside HS in Durham, NC. Vad was recruited as a quarterback, and for good reason. His senior year he led his team to a perfect season, 16-0, and the 4A state championship, according to ramblinwreck.com. He also rushed for 1,300 yards and passed for 3,223 yards in 2010.

Then there was Demontevious Smith from Monroe Area HS in Monroe, Ga. Coach Johnson said they may want to play him at safety but also said he “might get some play at quarterback.” According to ramblinwreck.com Smith played at quarterback in high school and ran the option. He passed for only 431 yards and five touchdowns but rushed for 1,795 yards and 25 touchdowns, with 13 attempts of at least 50 yards.

Now when speaking of the running game, I can’t forget about Broderick Snoddy out of Carrollton HS in Carrollton, Ga. Coach Johnson informed the audience that Snoddy may be “one of the fastest guys in the state.” He very well could be, seeing as he won the 3A state championship in the 100 and 200 his senior year, according to ramblinwreck.com. He also rushed for 1,150 yards and 18 touchdowns.

Hopefully these kids will make a positive impact on the program as it begins to rebuild after last season. Coach Johnson will have to replace a few starting positions this spring. He informed us that now that recruiting is over, he will focus on what to do with special teams.

There were also some questions about who will replace Scott Blair and Anthony Allen, which he addressed. They have about five kickers to look at in the spring, and asked whether he knows who will replace Allen, he said, “Yeah, but I’m not going to tell you.”

(All stats from ramblinwreck.com.)

Georgia Tech vs. Air Force: Matt Rivers Makes His Picks

Dec 27, 2010

Your free pick winner from Matt Rivers for Monday is on the under-56 in the bowl game between Georgia Tech and Air Force.

I am not going to write War and Peace here because there are a few simple factors that I am buying into here and that is enough for me to believe there will be less points than the oddsmaker seems to believe.

For one, both teams run this triple-option attack and, therefore, both defenses play against it on a daily basis in practice and also have had a few extra weeks to prepare for it in this game, which can be nothing but advantageous.

This is not a regular week where an opponent gets its three or four days to prepare for a much different offense. These squads have had ample amount of time to figure out what they pretty much already know. Certainly executing is another step in defending today’s foe, but both defenses will be as prepared as any team ever could be against the option.

I also am all about the under, as throwing the ball is not the norm for either squad and, therefore, we will see a lot of running and consequentially a lot of the clock ticking down. In the college game, the clock obviously will stop when there’s a first down, but we are going to see a lot of runs leading to a lot of time running down.

With both teams understanding the opposing offense, I just do not see big plays being the norm here, I really don’t. The defenses should be fairly disciplined and stay with their assignments until the end of plays limiting those 50-yard gallops.

It’s unusual to see a game like this and I really believe it is keeping the oddsmakers a bit off balance. Look for the defenses to be a step in front and for this thing to not get into the 50s in the end.

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GA Tech vs. Air Force: Independence Bowl Spread, Predictions, Handicapping Intel

Dec 27, 2010

It’s Georgia Tech versus Air Force in the Independence Bowl and here is the official sports betting picks preview. Air Force is laying three-points with a total of 56.

The Yellow Jackets come into this game at 6-6 straight up and 5-6 against the spread. Air Force is 8-4 outright, but just 4-7 according to the sportsbooks.

The Ramblin’ Wreck average 5.6 yards per rush teams that normally allow 4.6, but get just 6.8 passing yards per attempt to 7.0 and accumulate 5.9 yards per play defenses that allow an average of 5.5.

Tech has been benevolent on defense allowing 4.6 yards per rush to teams normally getting just 4.1, 7.3 yards per pass to 6.8 and 5.8 yards per play to 5.4.

Air Force generates a sensational 5.5 yards per rush versus squads usually permitting 4.7, a fantastic 9.9 passing yards per attempt to 7.5 and 6.2 yards per play to 5.8.

The Falcons are generous against the run, but stingy against the pass. They allow 4.8 yards per carry teams that usually get just 4.1, but a miserly 6.1 passing yards per attempt to 7.2 for 5.3 yards per play to 5.4.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread)

Georgia Tech is 1-6 off spread win.

The Falcons are 2-7 as a favorite of 0.5-3.0, 2-7 overall, 1-7 after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game, and 0-5 off straight up win.

Over/under trends

Tech has gone under 9-2 as an underdog of 0.5-3.0 and under 36-16 overall as a pup. Air Force has gone under five straight laying three or less.

Top expert pick on this game

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Independence Bowl: Everything You Need To Know About Georgia Tech vs. Air Force

Dec 27, 2010

The Independence Bowl won’t be an exercise in throwing the ball. Instead, let’s call it a nationally televised clinic in how to the run the ball—and do it often.

Not too many teams ignore the forward pass more than Georgia Tech and Air Force, so putting the two on the same field together seems like an ideal fit for starving football purists.

But what about those of us who prefer the modern game, one in which aerial attacks cause scoreboards to malfunction? We won’t be left hanging, will we?

Nah. This is bowl season! Who cares if this game is played in under three hours? There’s plenty to look forward to in Shreveport, La., Monday evening.

“Run” the Offense

Quite literally, the Falcons and Yellow Jackets throw the ball less than some quarterbacks do in less than half a season. Combined, the two teams attempted 299 passes in 2010. Neither team completed more than 53 percent of its passes. In fact, Georgia Tech, ranked 119th nationally in pass offense, completed just 38 percent.

Then again, with these two, passing the ball is an afterthought, simply a bit of trickeration thrown into the run-heavy game plan on an intermittent basis. The only team in the country that runs the ball more than Georgia Tech (696 attempts) is Air Force, which is first in the nation with 699 rushes. Conversely, the only team more effective on the ground than the Falcons (317.9 yards per game) is the Yellow Jackets, who averaged 327.

Of course, the triple-option offense is to blame. Air Force’s Troy Calhoun and Georgia Tech’s Paul Johnson are two of the best out there at executing the antiquated scheme—Air Force uses the option within varying formations, while Tech uses a “flexbone” alignment—and when their teams run it correctly, few defenses in the country are equipped to slow it down, let alone stop it.

The coach whose team best executes the option, which is so predicated on timing, angles, and decision-making, will likely leave Shreveport victorious.

Dropping Like Flies

When kickoff arrives at 5 PM ET, the Yellow Jackets will be without seven players, three of which will be required to sit the first two quarters.

Johnson announced on Sunday that defensive end Anthony Egbuniwe and defensive backs Michael Peterson and Louis Young will not be allowed to play in the first half of the Independence Bowl for recently missing a team curfew.

That came four days after the school ruled four players ineligible due to various academic issues, including two starters. Sophomore Stephen Hill, Tech’s leading receiver, and senior starting safety Mario Edwards were ruled ineligible for failing to meet school academic standards. Reserve defensive end Robert Hall and backup linebacker Anthony Barnes, both of whom have already graduated, will not be allowed to play because of failing to meet NCAA academic requirements.

Of the lot, the losses of Egbuniwe, Hill, and Edwards figure to impact Tech the most, though it never hurts to have as many fresh bodies as possible for a bowl game, particularly against an offense like Air Force’s.

Egbuniwe started all 12 games during the regular season at end, and Hill’s 15 receptions, 291 yards and three receiving touchdowns were all team-highs. Edwards was one of the defense’s more active performers, registering 68 tackles in 12 games, the third-highest total on the team.

Shedding the Academy Stigma

Hamstrung by fewer available scholarships and a considerable lack of across-the-board talent, the teams from the three service academies—Air Force, Army and Navy—will likely always be seen as a notch below schools from BCS conferences.

Still, recent history suggests the trio has fared well against the big boys, most notably Navy’s success against Notre Dame. But Air Force is right up there.

The last of which was a win over Notre Dame in 2007, the Falcons have upended five BCS opponents over the past nine seasons, and done so convincingly, winning by an average of more than 14 points.

Often times, the X factor for the service academies against BCS foes has been the triple option offense, to which the bigger, stronger and more athletic players from larger programs are seldom accustomed. But against Georgia Tech, a team that incorporates an academy-like scheme but with superior athletes, does that factor disappear?

Thanks Be To the Scout Team

Or should I say the offenses. Undoubtedly, each defense in the Independence Bowl will be familiar with the offensive alignment that sits across from it, having seen it in practice an infinite number of times. But it’s been a month since either of these teams last played a game, and, oddly enough, neither defense is used to preparing for an opponent that runs the triple-option.

Georgia Tech and Air Force are ranked 79th and 100th, respectively, in run defense nationally, so it’s obvious each defensive unit struggles against running games from more conventional offenses, such as the spread and pro-style.

It will be interesting to see which of these defenses has better used the extra time to prepare for the option. Ultimately, the game may be decided by which offense has provided the most thorough blueprint in practice.

How’s the Forearm, Josh?

Apparently not good, because Johnson has pretty much ruled out any chance that Josh Nesbitt, the Yellow Jackets’ leading passer and second-leading rusher, will be able to go with a broken forearm suffered on Nov. 4.

That leaves the controls of the option in the hands of redshirt sophomore Tevin Washington, who has averaged more than 180 yards running and throwing in his three starts this season, including career-highs in both categories in a lopsided loss to Miami a week after Nesbitt went down.

Washington’s experience may seem minimal, but Johnson insists his young quarterback is ready.

"He's been taking the snaps with the ones for six weeks now," he said recently. "He's no longer the backup; he's the starter now."

He may be the starter, but we’ll see how ready Washington is come Monday evening.