The lowest-seeded Los Angeles Kings dislodged the Vancouver Canucks Sunday night, setting up an automatic date with the second-place St. Louis Blues in the Western Conference semifinals.
In turn, the Nashville Predators will have confirmation of their next Stanley Cup playoff adversary by the end of Monday’s Game 6 or Wednesday’s Game 7 between the Phoenix Coyotes and the Chicago Blackhawks.
One of the two possible scenarios will have the Predators facing an ostensibly inferior opponent from a decisively weaker division, but lacking home-ice advantage. The other would constitute another Central Division dogfight a la Nashville’s Western Conference quarterfinal bout with Detroit.
One of the two prospective matchups will be against a team that mirrors Nashville in that it leans on a stingy stopper in Phoenix’s Mike Smith and has had noteworthy success away from home. The other bears a relatively recent championship squad from Chicago that has arguably peaked at the right time this season.
Something else to think about: Nashville was the first team to stamp its passport to the next round, abolishing the Red Wings in Game 5 this past Friday. As a result, their next game will likely come no earlier than this Saturday, amounting to a little more than a week-long interlude.
Should the Coyotes finish off the Blackhawks on Monday, the difference in rest and/or rust between Nashville and Phoenix will be altogether negligible. Otherwise, the Preds could be looking at a new opponent, whether that will be Chicago or Phoenix, that may only be on roughly three days’ rest but also riding a wave of momentum in the wake of a Game 7 triumph.
If the sixth-seeded Blackhawks ultimately advance, they will do so on a three-game winning streak, having scaled a 3-1 pothole in the conference quarterfinals. And they will do so with three playoff road wins already on their tab.
In addition, the Predators owned their season series with Chicago, posting a 4-1-1 record in that matchup over the regular season. But the Hawks took their lone regulation victory in their most recent encounter on March 31, pilfering a 5-4 victory at Bridgestone Arena to clinch their postseason berth with a week remaining in the regular season.
That win spoke to Chicago’s timely turnaround after a turbulent regular season. Their playoff clincher and liberation from Nashville’s stranglehold polished off an 11-2-2 run.
Prior to that hot streak, the Hawks were 34-24-7 on the year and 1-3-0 versus Nashville, their only win being a 5-4 overtime victory in the season-series opener on Halloween. But if Chicago completes its comeback against Phoenix, it will be all the more entitled to its timely restoration of confidence against the Predators and the NHL in general.
Meanwhile, the Preds split their four regular-season tilts with the Coyotes, their last one being a 5-4 shootout win on March 12. So far, that is the teams’ only encounter since the first week of December, meaning there is not much fresh material to size up a prospective playoff matchup.
But for what it’s worth, the road team has prevailed in each Nashville-Phoenix meeting in 2011-12. And the Predators are already one of the primal contributors to this uncanny league-wide trend of road teams getting the bigger piece of the playoff wishbone.
As of Monday morning, visiting teams are 26-16 in the 2012 NHL playoffs. All Nashville has done for that is go 2-0 at Detroit Joe Louis Arena, whose tenant merely owned the league’s best regular-season home record at 31-7-3.
The Coyotes are an identical 2-0 in playoff road games and will try to make it 3-0 in the process of dropping the curtain on the Hawks. They also posted the Western Conference’s third-best regular-season road record at 20-14-7.
Of the teams still standing in the conference, none other than the Predators are the only one with a better road log at 22-16-3.
But the likes of Smith could scrape abundant ice chips over all of that if he can engage Predators counterpart Pekka Rinne in a tight arm-wrestling match. And by the looks of his 2011-12 transcript, he is far more capable of doing that than Chicago’s Corey Crawford.
In addition, the Blackhawks are indefinitely missing their top gun, Marian Hossa, who brooked a vicious hit via Raffi Torres in Game 3 of the quarterfinals.
With that dent in the Hawks' depth, the differing prospects of staring down the Chicago or Phoenix strike force are suddenly less contrary for the likes of Rinne and shutdown defensemen Shea Weber and Ryan Suter.
It is also worth noting that Barry Trotz’s pupils were the Blackhawks’ first victim in their run to the 2010 title. An injection of incentive to turn the tables could not hurt Nashville’s cause.
If one is looking for an opposing party to lend a hand in making Nashville’s road a little more favorable, Chicago is the way to go. The chief deciding factors are their lack of a goalie who would ever be suspected of stealing a series and the Preds’ determination to abolish another divisional rival and historic playoff nemesis.
Regardless, the Predators should be the logical favorite to move on to the third round and could even be considered the team best-equipped to represent the West in the Stanley Cup final.