Stanford Can't Contend for Pac-12 Title Until It Fixes Mental Errors

Stanford lost to USC by three points for the second consecutive season—this time falling 13-10 instead of 20-17—and the final margin was not the only similarity.
For the second consecutive season, the Cardinal floundered at finishing drives, failing to score points when they got near the USC end zone. It was an area the team highlighted before the game, knowing it would have to improve there to win: would have to maximize its chances.
Unfortunately, it couldn't have been more right.

The specifics? I warn you, they’re pretty ugly.
In 2013, Stanford scored 10 points on four trips inside the Trojans’ 25-yard line, which was thought to be a definite nadir. There was nowhere to go but up—or so it seemed. But then, on Saturday, the Cardinal scored 10 points on nine trips inside the Trojans’ 25, an average that comes up barely above one point per attempt.
That makes for seven empty trips down near the end zone:
Its hard to say which near-miss was the most egregious.
The shanked 26-yard field goal by Jordan Williamson was a clinic in #CollegeKickers, and the miscommunicated fumble on a pitch from Kevin Hogan to Remound Wright was ugly, too.
Ultimately, though, the coup de grace was a blindside sack by J.R. Tavai on what should have been (at least) the game-tying drive, a hit that dislodged the ball from Hogan's right hand and sealed the game in poetically apropos fashion:
Stanford outgained USC by more than 100 yards, 413-291, but still lost as a favorite on its home field. That's the sort of thing that does not happen to a mentally adept team. Stanford is young along the offensive line, which is a fair-enough excuse, but it is also ranked in the national top 15. It cannot be so unsound with mental mistakes near the end zone.
"Bottom line, if you don't take advantage of opportunities, you're going to lose to a good football team," said head coach David Shaw—who also refused to admit that his play-calling was conservative—per Stanford beat reporter David Lombardi.
Shaw did, however, accept his share of the blame:
There's a discord between how Stanford plays and how it finishes drives, and it's existed for more than a season.
The Cardinal win by running the ball, controlling the clock and disrupting opponents' offensive efficiency, which is usually the mark of a team that does well near the end zone. Playing downhill and wearing out an opponent's defensive line are supposed to fashion success at the end of drives, and in many cases they do.
But Stanford couldn't get out of its way against USC, just like it couldn't get out of its own way for most of 2013. Here is how Bill Connelly of SB Nation described Stanford in his season preview:
As much as we want to fit teams into a neat little box, it doesn't always work that way.
[...]
In 2013, the Cardinal were a bit surprising from a statistical perspective, and not necessarily in a good way. For one thing, they were wholly mediocre at closing out drives. Rushing teams have the reputation for being good near the goal line, but they averaged only 4.3 points per trip inside the opponent's 40-yard line.
Despite these manifest deficiencies, Shaw and his staff have a lot to feel good about after Saturday's game.
After a 12-play, 68-yard touchdown drive on their first possession, USC's offense was held to 41 yards and zero points on its next 21 plays. It didn't score a touchdown in the final 49 minutes of the game.
How many defenses in the Pac-12—much less the country—can suffocate an offense this talented?
The Cardinal proved Saturday that they're good enough to contend for a Pac-12 title, and although their chances of doing that (and of making the College Football Playoff) took a major hit with an 0-1 start in conference play, they are not crazy for keeping that as a goal.
They are crazy, however, if they keep that as a goal without fixing their mental deficits. Whether it's Shaw doing his best (pre-2013) Ron Rivera impression by punting on the 29-yard line or Hogan and Wright colliding for an ill-timed fumble, there were too many lapses Saturday that a legitimate contender wouldn't make.
A legitimate contender would be heading into Sunday 2-0.