5 Players Being Overvalued by Fantasy Football Owners After 2025 NFL Draft

The results of the 2025 NFL draft will have a major impact on the upcoming fantasy football season.

The league now has a slew of fresh skill-position players. Some rookies will immediately challenge established veterans for playing time and cut into their touches, but others won’t make as much of an impact as some experts are projecting.

Correctly predicting which first-year players will thrive and which will struggle can give managers a massive leg up when constructing a fantasy roster.

With that in mind, let’s look at five players who seem overvalued in wake of the 2025 draft and highlight why they aren’t worth taking at their current average draft position.

Fantasy points, rankings and ADP courtesy of FantasyPros.com using PPR data.

Quinn Ewers was the 14th quarterback selected in the 2025 draft, but he’s been the fourth signal-caller coming off the board in rookie drafts, according to DraftSharks.

Ewers could see action relatively early on with the Miami Dolphins considering he’s behind the injury-prone Tua Tagovailoa on the depth chart. However, it’s far from a given that he’ll even beat out free-agent pickup Zach Wilson, whom head coach Mike McDaniel called a “direct, calculated” pickup, for the primary backup role.

Ewers is coming off a relatively strong run at Texas. He finished his final season with 3,472 yards and 31 touchdowns, although he did also throw 12 interceptions—doubling his mark from the 2023 campaign—and his completion rate dropped from 69.0 percent as a sophomore to 65.8 percent as a junior.

It remains to be seen if Ewers has the arm strength to succeed in the NFL. B/R scout Dame Parson described his arm as “adequate” but noted a clear lack of velocity and zip on the long ball. Parson also said the Longhorns product tends to not step into his throws enough and doesn’t have patience at times, leading him to abscond from clean pockets.

While Ewers could very well become a rookie starter if the stars align, it's more probable that he spends his initial NFL seasons as a third-stringer. Don't be surprised if he has zero fantasy impact for quite some time, if ever.

There's not enough value here and too much risk to warrant Ewers' current draft position.

The Los Angeles Chargers took UNC star running back Omarion Hampton with the No. 22 overall pick in this year's draft. He should be the future of their backfield, but he might get off to a tepid start to his NFL career, which is a concern for someone who's going as the RB21 at No. 60 overall.

One of the biggest limiting factors is the logjam in the Bolts’ backfield. Not only did they draft Hampton this year, but they also signed Najee Harris in free agency and have 2024 sixth-round scatback Kimani Vidal and 2022 fourth-round depth option Hassan Haskins returning.

Harris is the biggest threat to soak up touches for the Chargers in 2025. He wasn’t particularly dynamic during his four-year tenure with the Pittsburgh Steelers, but he was one of the NFL’s most consistent backs. He topped at least 255 carries, 1,000 rushing yards and six touchdowns in each of those seasons.

Vidal could also see some run, although his lackluster rookie year will likely relegate him to a handful of touches per week at best.

Quarterback Justin Herbert also started looking like a star again following a slow start to last season, and the Chargers brought in a new wideout to complement breakout star Ladd McConkey in second-round pick Tre Harris. It wouldn't be surprising if they lean a bit more heavily on the pass in 2025.

L.A. threw on 55 percent of its offensive plays last year, which ranked 23rd in the NFL. That number should jump a bit with Herbert healthy and having more targets at his disposal.

While Hampton should be in the mix as a rookie, his ceiling might be capped. That's a concern for a fifth- or sixth-round fantasy pick.

The New York Giants nabbed Arizona State running back Cam Skattebo early on Day 3 at No. 105 overall. While the Sun Devils star endeared himself to football fans with his explosive performance in the College Football Playoff, he isn't likely to replicate that type of production as a rookie.

Skattebo showed off his versatility against Texas in the Peach Bowl by rushing 30 times for 143 yards and two touchdowns, reeling in eight receptions for 99 yards and tossing a 42-yard scoring pass. While he was a one-man army at times last season—he finished with more than 2,300 yards and 24 touchdowns from scrimmage—his role with the G-Men will be vastly reduced.

Skattebo is joining a backfield that's returning both Tyrone Tracy Jr. and Devin Singletary. Tracy broke out as a fifth-round rookie last year, leading the team with 839 rushing yards and five scores on 192 carries, while Singletary picked up 437 yards and four touchdowns on his 113 totes.

While Skattebo could conceivably usurp Singletary and work in as the RB2 behind Tracy, he's unlikely to see the type of volume that fantasy managers are hoping for. He's currently being selected in fantasy drafts as the RB37 at No. 103 overall.

The Giants had offensive line issues last season that may not be sorted out yet. The unit was 28th in Pro Football Sports Network's end-of-season rankings, and the Giants didn't make any needle-moving additions to that group this offseason.

Fantasy managers should temper expectations for Skattebo for now. It would take a stellar camp for him to secure a starting role over Tracy or even become a high-volume backup to the versatile incumbent.

He has clear upside, but Skattebo is likely at least a year away from busting out as a fantasy star.

The Chicago Bears appear to have faith in D’Andre Swift bouncing back in 2025. They decided against trading up to select can’t-miss running back prospect Ashton Jeanty and instead stood pat at No. 10 overall to select tight end Colston Loveland.

While the Bears did eventually bring in some backfield help, their lone RB addition came in the form of seventh-round pick Kyle Monangai. Swift is now the clear-cut leader of a platoon that also includes 2023 fourth-round pick Roschon Johnson.

Despite not having much competition for touches and a new offensive-minded coaching staff helmed by Ben Johnson—whose tenure as the Detroit Lions offensive coordinator began during Swift’s final season with the club—fantasy managers should be wary of investing too much draft capital into Chicago’s current RB1.

The Bears could dip into the free-agent pool to secure another back in the coming weeks. Several unsigned RBs could push Swift and compete for a number of touches this season.

J.K. Dobbins is a name to watch, as the exciting but often-injured back has been linked to Chicago, along with other intriguing veterans such as Nick Chubb. It wouldn’t hurt to at least have an insurance option in case Swift disappoints again.

Swift finished his initial Bears season as the RB19 and struggled down the stretch. While he opened the 2024 campaign with four top-12 finishes across the first seven games, he was never higher than RB13 after Week 8 and had five finishes of RB28 or worse during that stretch.

While Swift is not being extremely overvalued, his current ADP of 69 (RB24) is a tad too optimistic. He may be worth nabbing in the sixth-round range later in the offseason if the Bears don't end up adding a quality veteran, but managers will want to monitor the situation in the Windy City closely.

Keep an eye on things and stay far away from Swift if Chicago lands a back who could ultimately emerge as a starter or high-usage RB2 during training camp.

The Seattle Seahawks made a big splash this offseason by signing quarterback Sam Darnold and wide receiver Cooper Kupp, but they parted ways with quarterback Geno Smith and veteran pass-catchers DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. They then selected Alabama quarterback Jalen Milroe on Day 2 of the draft.

Due to that changing of the guard, incumbent running back Kenneth Walker III could be in for a trying 2025 season.

While Milroe isn’t likely to see the field much as a rookie, his presence means Darnold will be feeling even more pressure to deliver on the $100 million contract he signed this offseason. The veteran’s last two performances for the Minnesota Vikings left a lot to be desired, including a stinkbomb in the playoffs.

If Darnold ends up being a downgrade from Smith and lacks the ability to keep defensives honest, Seattle’s backfield could soon be facing stacked boxes with little room to maneuver.

Walker in particular would have a tough time meeting the lofty expectations of an RB14 who boasts an ADP of 40, and that’s if he can manage to stay healthy.

Injuries have taken their toll on the fourth-year back throughout his NFL career and caused him to miss six games in 2024. While he had some bright spots in 2024—including a trio of top-nine finishes during a four-game stretch between Weeks 4-7—he failed to place better than RB15 in his six games from Week 8 onwards.

With Walker entering the final year of his rookie contract and capable backup Zach Charbonnet already waiting in the wings, a slow start could lead to the Seahawks coaching staff quickly turning to the team’s backup to provide a spark.