SMU Mustangs Football

If you have a Facebook page and happen to be friends with anyone associated with SMU or TCU you have probably seen a status update about tonight’s game.

The two campuses are about 45 minutes apart, and pit Dallas against Fort Worth in the DFW rivalry. The Horned Frogs have handled the Mustangs over the years, TCU head coach Gary Patterson is 7-1 against SMU during his time leading the Frogs.

But that one game is what SMU fans will use as hope for tonight. The Mustangs (2-1) will kick-off against the No. 4 TCU Horned Frogs (3-0) at 7 p.m. at Ford Stadium with the memories of the game when SMU beat TCU who were coming off a huge upset of Oklahoma.

That game introduced the world to running back DeMyron Martin who scored three touchdowns and rushed for 118 yards in the 21-10 upset. Unfortunately for SMU that was one of only five wins in 2005, that would turn out to be the only loss for TCU who would go on to defeat Iowa State in the EV1.net Houston Bowl.

The Mustangs have their work cut out for them. TCU isn’t coming off a major win and looking past this game. The Frogs know what they need to do to break into the BCS for the second straight season, and possibly play for the BCS National Championship, and that is win and win big.

SMU is currently 18-point underdogs against a TCU team that has won its three games by an average of 33 points a game. But SMU was 14-point underdogs against Texas Tech in Lubbock and lost the game by only eight points after committing four turnovers.

TCU got over the only hurdle they have faced so far this season when they defeated Oregon State 30-21 in Cowboys Stadium in Arlington to open the season. The Frogs then went on to handle Tennessee Tech and Baylor by scores of 62-7 and 45-10 respectively.

SMU quarterback Kyle Padron has never faced the Horned Frogs. In last season’s rainy 39-14 loss Padron was still backing up Bo Levi Mitchell, Mitchell finished the game 17 of 38 with two touchdowns and two interceptions. TCU quarterback Andy Dalton will be playing in his third game against SMU, sporting a 3-0 record.

Dalton went 12 for 20 with two touchdowns and one interception against SMU last season. But it wasn’t the passing game that put away the Mustangs. The Frogs scored three rushing touchdowns and a punt return for a touchdown to put SMU behind. The two passing touchdowns occurred in the fourth quarter with the Mustangs already down 25-14.

 This season Padron hasn’t exactly been the same quarterback who ripped apart the Nevada defense in the Sheraton Hawaii Bowl, but he has thrown for 643 yards and eight touchdowns in three games, as well as rushing for 116 yards and a touchdown, his only three interceptions came against Texas Tech in the season opener.

The rushing game has been led by sophomore Zach Line, who is replacing last season’s 1,000-yard rusher Shawnbrey McNeil. Line has 276 yards and three touchdowns in three games and is averaging 7.7 yards a carry.

The Mustangs have looked mostly to a core of three receivers this season with Darius Johnson leading the team with 15 receptions, Aldrick Robinson leading the team with 212 yards, and Cole Beasley right between the two in yards and receptions. Johnson and Robinson have three touchdown receptions and Beasley has two.

The key to the Mustangs’ success is ball control. Against Tech they lost the ball four times and only lost the game by eight points. Against UAB, SMU’s only turnover, a fumble, led to UAB’s only touchdown of the game. And against Washington State a fumbled punt led to WSU tying the game at 14 at halftime.

The Boulevard opens early and there will be a flyover of U.S. Air Force T-38s before the 7p.m. kickoff.

SMU Mustangs vs. TCU Horned Frogs
Point Spread: TCU is currently set as a 17 point favorite against SMU with the games over/under betting total posted at 55 points.

TCU was victorious in their last game by a score of 45-10 against Baylor. They covered the point spread in that matchup as 22 point favorites and the combined score of 55 points went under the posted total. SMU won by a score of 35-21 in their last affair against Washington State. They did not cover the point spread in that game as a 23 point favorite and the combined score of 56 points went over the posted college football betting total.

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ATS Trends
Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Horned Frogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Horned Frogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Horned Frogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Horned Frogs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
Mustangs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Mustangs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Mustangs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Mustangs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Mustangs are 18-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Over/Under Trends
Over is 4-0 in Horned Frogs last 4 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Over is 6-1 in Horned Frogs last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Under is 4-1 in Horned Frogs last 5 Friday games.
Over is 4-1 in Horned Frogs last 5 games following a ATS win.
Under is 7-2 in Horned Frogs last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 4-1-1 in Mustangs last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1-1 in Mustangs last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 17-5 in Mustangs last 22 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 15-5-1 in Mustangs last 21 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Over is 3-1-1 in Mustangs last 5 non-conference games.

Head-to-Head Trends
Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Horned Frogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

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Everyone at SMU and TCU knows there is a game Friday night. But SMU is trying to make sure that everyone in Dallas knows it too.

The game is a rivalry game that TCU has dominated over the past few seasons with SMU's last win coming in 2005. But it still means national publicity for SMU who is trying to get its football team back on the national radar.

The game is being played Friday night so it can be shown nationally on ESPN without any other college games competing for viewers. But this is Texas, which means Friday night is already football night, high school football night.

From the campus yard signs, window clings, t-shirts and posters have been distributed, but it is what is off campus that is making the most noise. A "Beat TCU, Fill the Ford" sign is hanging on the Expressway Towers building across Central Expressway from campus, a building owned by SMU. But if you were driving down US75 yesterday around rush hour by campus and happened to look up you would have seen a message airplane with a similar sign.

Even off campus at the new Heights at Park Lane apartment complex had "Beat TCU" lights projected on the side of it, and according to the SMU Athletics website other buildings along US75 have the lights as well.

The game has already sold out seats and SMU has begun selling standing room only tickets for $20, opening up the south end of Ford Stadium. The game is projected to break Ford's attendance record of 34,749 set at the 2009 season opener against Stephen F. Austin.

The hope is that SMU fans will still outnumber TCU fans in the stadium. But for me, I hope that the marketing campaign can continue past the TCU game. With both of Houston’s quarterbacks going down to season ending injuries the Mustangs have a chance to play for a conference championship and next week’s game at Rice and the following week’s game against Tulsa will probably be bigger games for SMU, but not as big of money makers for the athletic program.

The university is putting a lot of hype into a game in which SMU is a 19-point underdog. Hopefully a lot of people coming to watch SMU lose to a better team won’t discourage fans from returning to Ford.

Injuries aren’t exactly the thing a sports fan should hope for.

Sure, I hoped Barry Bonds would get a career ending injury before he broke either Mark McGwire’s 70 home runs in a season or Hank Aaron’s career home run record. And when a guy on the court, ice, field, or turf is just kicking your team around you silently hope that something will happen to him and give your team a chance.

Last season the SMU Mustangs were seemingly headed for another year without a bowl game. Quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell had underachieved in head coach June Jones’ offense and was having issues throwing the ball to the right team. Then it happened, in Houston, Mitchell went down with an injury. That brought in, freshman at the time, Kyle Padron. He didn’t look like anything special in the rest of the game against Houston, but what he showed after that game kept Mitchell on the bench and eventually transferring to another school.

This season the Mustangs could benefit from another quarterback injury in Houston. This time it isn’t to an SMU player, it’s to two Cougars.

One week after suffering a mild concussion trying to make a tackle after an interception, once Heisman candidate Case Keenum did it again. He threw an interception, went to make a tackle and this time tore his ACL and is done for the season.

But that’s ok, Houston has a backup by the name of Cotton Turner, he’s no Keenum but still capable of running a potent Cougar offense. Only one problem, he broke his collar bone, also out for the season. The Cougars went into the game against UCLA with a No. 23 ranking and a Heisman candidate. They left with a loss, dropping out of the top 25, and a third-string, freshman quarterback leading them.

There was so much hype, so much hope and so much reverence surrounding Houston when the season started. They were going to win Conference USA West, again, they were going to send Keenum to New York for a chance at a trophy and they were going to compete with TCU and Boise State as BCS busters.

Now some of that has moved into SMU’s camp. Will Padron be talked about for the Heisman? Probably not. Will the Mustangs sniff a BCS game? No. But SMU has a solid shot to dominate the west in C-USA and possibly host the conference championship game in December.

Now the Mustangs do still have to win the games they are supposed to; Rice, Tulsa, Tulane, and they have to get past UTEP and still beat Houston. And the Cougars have games against Tulane, Mississippi State and Rice to get third to first string freshman quarterback Terrence Broadway integrated in the offense and comfortable playing the position at the college level.

There is little doubt that Broadway is a capable, talented quarterback, and that he has the ability to be a great quarterback. But for now the Mustangs hope he has some growing pains over the next couple of games culminating on Oct. 23 at Ford Stadium.

Everyone has heard that one man’s trash is another man’s treasure, as one door closes another one opens and one man’s misfortune is another’s fortune. All the Mustangs are hoping for is a win against Houston and a chance at the conference championship. And with Keenum and Turner out of the picture it’s looking like they could be well on their way.

The Mustangs are learning to win. And they are getting the bulk of it done at home. SMU is 7-1 at home in the past two seasons with the only loss being in overtime against Navy in 2009.

Two and three seasons ago SMU (2-1) went 1-11, losing some tough and heartbreaking games. Of the 22 losses in those two seasons two were in overtime and six others were by less than seven points. Even last season the Mustangs lost two overtime games and another by just three points.

So far it has been a different trend for the Mustangs. Against UAB the offense struggled, then hit its stride in the second half leading to a 28-7 win. Last Saturday against Washington State (1-2) the Mustangs, 23-point favorites, were tied at 14 going in to half time. They outscored the Cougars 14-0 in the third quarter to put the game away.

The final score of 35-21 was closer than some expected going into the game, but the Mustangs did what they were supposed to do, win. And it was the first time they defeated a BCS conference school since 2000, going 0-17 against teams during the over 10-year time span.

SMU quarterback Kyle Padron used both his arm and his leg to be a part of all five touchdowns on Saturday. Padron threw for 280 yards and four touchdowns, three to Aldrick Robinson and one to Darius Johnson, and rushed for the first touchdown of the game.

Robinson led all receivers with 111 yards on four catches, while Cole Beasley led the team in receptions with five for 54 yards. Sophomore running back Zach Line continued his impressive start to the season with eight rushes for 82 yards bringing his season total to 276 yards in three games averaging 7.7 yards a carry and three touchdowns.

On defense Taylor Reed led all tacklers with 10 for the game, but Ja’Gared Davis had 3.5 tackles for loss and tied with Taylor Thompson with 1.5 sacks for the game.

Washington State’s quarterback Jeff Tuel finished the game completing 18 of 33 passes for 284 yards and two touchdowns, but it wasn’t enough to defeat the Mustangs at Ford Stadium.

SMU will get its toughest test of the season at home, or on the road, when the fourth ranked TCU Horned Frogs come to Ford on Friday night. The Horned Frogs (3-0) have handled the Mustangs in each of the meetings since SMU upset TCU 21-10 in 2005.

For the Mustangs, and it is still weird to say this, it is an opponent they should handle easily. SMU (1-1) will face Washington State (1-1) today at 2:30 p.m. at Ford Stadium. The Mustangs are coming off a 28-7 win against Conference USA opponent UAB, while the Cougars had to come from behind to defeat Montana State.

Last season SMU traveled to Pullman, Wash., and looked to have the game under control after taking a 17-0 lead midway through the second quarter. But in the third quarter SMU quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell began having trouble telling the difference between white and red jerseys. Mitchell threw one interception in the third, led to a touchdown, two in the fourth, led to a touchdown, and one on the first play of overtime, led to the game winning field goal. The 39-yard field goal not only gave the Cougars their first win of the season, but it was the first time they had led at any point in three games to start 2009.

This season Washington State comes to Dallas, and Mitchell will be in the state of Washington. Mitchell transferred to Eastern Washington University after losing his starting job to sophomore Kyle Padron. Mitchell and the Eagles will be debuting their new red turf against Montana. This year the Mustangs will be looking to avenge that loss and do something they have not done since 2000, defeat a team from a BCS conference. The Mustangs defeated Kansas 31-17 in the first game at Ford Stadium.

SMU doesn’t quite have the swagger they held after beating Nevada 45-10 in the Hawaii Bowl in December. Padron doesn’t quite look like the same player who threw for 460 yards in that game, his timing appears to be off and he doesn’t seem comfortable in the pocket. But the Mustangs have shown glimpses of brilliance and determination. In the season opener against Texas Tech the Mustangs committed four turnovers, but still lost by only eight points, 35-27. And last week sophomore running back Zach Line wore out the UAB defense rushing for 122 yards and two touchdowns. The other two touchdowns in the 28-7 victory were passes from Padron to Darius Johnson.

If the Mustangs want to have success they need to score early. Against Tech they did not score until over half way through the second quarter on their eighth drive of the game, and against UAB it took four drives and until the end of the first quarter after losing the ball on downs, a fumble and a punt on their first three possessions.

With Jones' offense it is about scoring early and often and not giving the opponent a chance to ever catch up. The Mustangs will look to run away with another win today.

For years coaches and players have repeated the mantra, “take the season one game at a time” over and over again. But this year the SMU Mustangs’ season could come down to one game.

It can be circled on the calendar for many different reasons; it is SMU’s homecoming game, it is against a divisional opponent, it is against a Top 25 team. However, the main reason it should be circled is because it is the game standing between the Mustangs and possibly hosting the Conference USA championship game.

The only other C-USA challenge the Mustangs will face is the season finale at East Carolina. But if the Mustangs run the table in the conference, including the win against Houston, that game will probably be for home field advantage in the championship.

SMU has already defeated UAB, and other conference opponents such as Rice, Tulane, and Marshall shouldn’t be much of a challenge for SMU this season. Other divisional opponents; UTEP and Tulsa could be a bit of a challenge, but should the Mustangs win they would be on their way to competing for the conference title just two years after back-to-back seasons of no conference wins.

There have been plenty of struggles for SMU football becoming relevant again after the Death Penalty in 1987. They went winless in 2003, and after things were looking up during a 6-6 2006 season they finished 1-11 in each of the following seasons. Then it happened, it all came together in 2009.

The Mustangs went 6-2 in C-USA and finished second, to Houston, in the West division. The other loss was to Marshall, in West Virginia and the Mustangs lost by just three points. This season SMU will play the same 8 conference opponents, switching away games for home and vice versa.

Last season the Mustangs were kings of winning the close games. The six conference wins were won by an average of 5.8 points a game. This season, with a 21-point win against UAB, and being 23-point favorites to defeat Washington State this weekend the Mustangs are looking raise their margin of victory this year.

When the Mustangs face Houston they will already have one test out of the way, Tulsa, and will be three games into conference play. Yes, it is only two weeks into the season and one game into conference play, but this team has the potential to play for the conference title. The defense will have to play a little better, and the offense, especially quarterback Kyle Padron, needs to get in a rhythm, but with the early season games out of the way the Mustangs should be ready against the Cougars.

The thing the Mustangs will have to do to beat Houston, is keep Case Keenum under wraps. Keenum has thrown for over 5,000 yards in each of the past two seasons with 5,671 last year. We haven’t gotten a good look at Keenum yet this season. He played just one half in Houston’s stomping of Texas State, and left in the third quarter against UTEP with an apparent concussion. His status for this week’s game against UCLA is unknown, and one would imagine that by October the concussion in week two wouldn’t even be an issue, but it is possible that it could have a lasting effect on the Heisman Trophy candidate’s season.

So while the Mustangs will look to take it one game at a time this season, there is one game that should be circled on fans’ calendars; Oct. 23 at Ford Stadium, SMU v. Houston.

Coming into the 2010 season there were high hopes for SMU football, this weekend we will see what the Mustangs can really do.

Coming off their first bowl game since the school received the Death Penalty from the NCAA the Mustangs are 1-1 in predictable games. SMU (1-1) went down to Lubbock and were beaten by Texas Tech (2-0), though covering the spread against a Big 12 school, then came back home last weekend and defeated an over-matched Conference USA opponent, UAB (0-2).

This weekend the Mustangs have a chance to beat their first BCS conference opponent since defeating Kansas 31-17 in the first game played in Ford Stadium in 2000. SMU will face Washington State (1-1) of the Pac 10 Saturday at 2:30 p.m. at Ford Stadium in Dallas.

SMU could have beaten the Cougars last season in Pullman, Wash., but came up short in overtime. Former SMU quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell, now at Eastern Washington, threw four interceptions including two in the fourth quarter and one on SMU’s only possession in overtime. WSU kicked a game-winning 39-yard field goal following the interception to win the game 30-27.

Since then sophomore quarterback Kyle Padron has taken over the offense and succeeded in head coach June Jones’ run and shoot style of play calling. Padron is still undergoing growing pains this season, including three interceptions and a fumble lost in SMU’s season opener against Tech.

The biggest surprise on offense this season has been running back Zach Line. The sophomore served as the Mustangs short yardage back with Miami transfer Shawnbrey McNeil getting the majority of the carries last season. But with McNeil gone Line has already rushed for more yards in two games this season than he did all of last year, 194 to 189 yards.

The defense also suffered losses from last seasons’ team. Bryan McCann graduated and is currently on the Baltimore Ravens’ roster and linebacker, and leading tackler, Chase Kennemer graduated. Stepping up so far this season has been senior linebacker Pete Fleps who leads the team with 22 tackles, one for loss, in two games this season. Sophomore defensive back Ryan Smith had a stand out game against UAB recording three tackles, forcing a fumble and intercepting a pass.

Washington State is coming off a 23-22 victory against Montana State. The Cougars were down 22-7 at one point during the game before mounting their comeback. WSU avoided an 0-2 start with the win after losing the season opener 65-17 in Stillwater, Okla. against Oklahoma State.

The Mustangs are currently 23-point favorites to win after opening as 21-point favorites. Kickoff is 2:30 p.m. on Saturday at Ford Stadium.

If Rod Taylor was at Gerald J. Ford Stadium last Saturday to watch SMU play UAB, he would have been the happiest individual in the stands. There is finally proof that time machines exist and work.

Viewing the Mustangs' 28-7 victory over the UAB Blazers, one would have the game was transported back to 1982 when Bobby Collins patrolled the sidelines, and the "Pony Express" featured Eric Dickerson and Craig James taking turns running around and through opposing defenses.

The game was an incredible event to witness. Coach June Jones actually emphasized the "run" element of the run and shoot offense. In 2008, the leading rusher for SMU had just 190 yards.

For the game, Southern Methodist rushed for 247 yards and passed for 174 yards. Saturday marked the first time that SMU gained more yardage rushing than passing since the Jones era started in 2008. In the contest against Houston last season, the Mustangs came close to achieving the feat when they ran for 197 yards and passed for 200.

Jones started Darryl Fields at running back to give SMU more speed at the position. Fields started the festivities off with a 28-yard kick return. Fields gained 27 yards on his first five carries of the game, three of which resulted in first downs.

Despite the early success of Fields, SMU still displayed the characteristics of a pass-first team. However, SMU struggled to complete passes downfield and succeed on third-down passing plays.

UAB actually took a 7-0 lead in the first quarter when the Blazers converted on a nine-yard scoring drive that was created when Patrick Fleming fumbled a completed pass from quarterback Kyle Padron and Blazer defensive tackle D.J. Reese picked up the loose ball and returned it 15 yards.

The complexion of the game changed when Fields left the game with a bruised thigh late in the first quarter. Sophomore Zach Line entered the game and took it over. Weighing in at 235 lbs, Line is not known for his speed but was elusive enough to break free for large gains.

Line finished the game with 122 yards and two rushing touchdowns on 16 carries. Saturday marked the first time Line ran for at least 100 yards in a game.

UAB quarterback David Isabelle was heralded as a dangerous runner, but Padron rushed for a career-high 66 yards while Isabelle accumulated just 34 rushing yards. Despite the success of Line, the Blazers continued to respect SMU's four-receiver formations, which left lanes for Padron to run through when he could not find an open teammate.

Although the Mustangs dominated the game, the Blazers lost a scoring opportunity when they had the ball on SMU's one-yard line, but a fumbled snap was the last play of the first half. SMU kept UAB from scoring a touchdown in the third quarter when strong safety Ryan Smith forced Blazer wide receiver Frantrell Forrest to fumble the ball out of SMU's endzone for a touchback.

It was nice to see a flashback to 1982, but fans should expect to see a radical change in SMU's offensive strategy or a long winning streak. Dickerson and James accounted for 8,192 rushing yards and 70 rushing touchdowns in their careers. SMU has a solid team, but the 1982 Mustangs finished No. 2 in the country with a 10-0-1 record.

The trio of Line, Fields, and Padron will not come anywhere close to the accomplishments of the "Pony Express." However, the running game may continue to be utilized more frequently until the Mustangs can find a dependable third-down receiver.

Last season, Emmanuel Sanders was a reliable weapon in the middle of the field. Aldrick Robinson has a similar build to Sanders but would rather catches passes near the sidelines. SMU is currently struggling to find plays that will work in clutch situations.

Coming up on the schedule, SMU has a home game with the Washington State Cougars followed by a contest against the TCU Horned Frogs in the Battle for the Iron Skillet at Ford Stadium. It will be interesting to see what the ratio between running plays and passing plays will be.

What happened on Saturday was probably a once in a lifetime event, but it was wonderful to see the dreams of H. George Wells come to life.

If you’re looking for the best football game line analysis on the internet, you’ve come to the right place! Today, we’re taking a look at Sunday’s crucial tilt between the SMU Mustangs and the Texas Tech Red Raiders.
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SMU Mustangs vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
Game Date/Time: Sunday, September 5th, 3:30 ET
Game Location: Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, TX
TV/Radio Broadcast: ESPN, ESPN3.com, ESPN Mobile TV, Sirius

NCAA Football Odds: SMU Mustangs (+14) -110 vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders (-14) -110: Over/Under 60.5

One thing is always for certain when June Jones is on the sidelines. His team is going to throw the heck out of the football.

Last year’s starting quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell transferred to Eastern Washington this season to go play on the newest craze of the red field in the Apple State. That leaves the door wide open once and for all for Kyle Padron, who is in his first full season of calling the shots for the Mustangs.

Padron came on in the middle of last year and looked great, completing 67.2 percent of his passes for 1,922 yards with ten scores against just four picks. It is fully expected that this sophomore is going to throw for up near 4,000 yards this year with at least 25-30 TDs if the Mustangs are going to find success. This could be a huge spot for Padron to make a big time name for himself on national television.

Whereas reading Jones is easy, it is difficult to know exactly what Tommy Tuberville is going to do in his first season on the Lubbock sidelines.

Many assume that he is going to try to at least incorporate tailback Baron Batch a bit more into the lineup. Batch knows that he is going to be asked to be a 1,000 yard rusher this year if he stays healthy, and that could start with a big game against SMU on Sunday.

However, there is still a big time quarterback problem at Texas Tech. Taylor Potts is going to start a year after throwing for 3,440 yards and 22 scores, but he is probably going to be looking over his shoulder all season long. Steven Sheffield replaced Potts quite a bit last season, as he threw for 1,219 yards and 14 TDs.

NCAA Football Betting Insider Tip: The Mustangs are just 3-13-1 ATS in their L/17 tries at beating the football game line against Big XII teams.

That doesn’t mean anything anymore, though. The Jones era in SMU is only just beginning, and there are clearly good things on the horizon for this program. The Mustangs could be looking at a big upset here, as this would be the biggest win the team would have secured in a number of years.

The Red Raiders had better be on upset alert as the Mustangs look to be a Rabid Dawg!

My NCAA Football Predictions: SMU Mustangs (+14) -110
Source: BetUS Locker Room Featured on: Handicapperspicks.com

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