Oregon State Football

Game 1: Portland State

There is no reason to think PSU can pull off an upset of this magnitude. The spread will most likely be at risk here; PSU should be better than expected against a secondary that is a little rough around the edges.

There is still no way OSU loses this game.

95% chance of a W.

Game 2: @UNLV

UNLV can pull off an upset—see last year’s game versus Arizona State. 

The spread will be tough on a starting wise still-wet-behind-the-ears secondary, and you know how OSU fares on the road early in the season.

This is the big game if you’re looking for a team OSU should beat but could lose to. I doubt the Rodgers brothers will let that happen, and with either Canfield dropping the long bomb, or Lyle leading a game-winning drive, there’s too much talent to actually expect that OSU loses here. 

60% chance of a W.

Game 3: Cincinnati

Cincinnati makes any OSU fan cry just a little. That 34-3 turnover fest in ’07 was not what we were hoping to see, and yet exactly what we’ve come to expect from OSU: a loss to a team on the rise, on the road. 

Well they’re back, and in this time in Corvallis. The questions Cincinnati faces are just about on par with the questions OSU must answer. With the Rodgers brothers and senior quarterback leadership, the Beavers has the proven quantities in the right places to make a big difference here.

80% chance of a W.

Game 4: Arizona

This is the Pac-10 opener; another scary thought to an OSU fan. These are generally losses, but it’s a lot more important when its on the road.

At home, this should be a win, but you can’t truly trust it. Arizona always puts out a good defense and Sonny Dykes has plenty of weapons to work with on offense. Senior leadership at quarterback makes the difference here, and I see OSU coming away with another squeaker. If they lose this, it’ll be no surprise though.

This should be the game the defense starts to gel. Hopefully it’ll be enough to squeak by the Wildcats.

65% chance of a W.

Game 5: @Arizona State

A 4-0 start seems to be a little much to ask. A 5-0 start would be incredible and would likely mean a Top 15 ranking. I can’t really see 5-0, but 4-1 does not seem laughable this time. 

Arizona State has a really good defense returning and could very easily turn this into a battle of field position. Special teams will likely play a large role and OSU has the advantage here with James Rodgers. 

There is too much coming together against OSU. Still, OSU should be the better team and has enough to be favored; just not enough to make it even close to a shock if it’s a loss.

55% chance of a W.

Game 6: Stanford

Game 6. Just about the hump in years’ past, and a chance for revenge after last year’s opening game loss. Chance of revenge for a loss that eventually cost OSU the Rose Bowl. (That’s right Duck fans: The Cardinal were the real spoilers last year.)

OSU should have the holes in the secondary shored up by this point, and its not like Stanford was known for brilliant passing last season. The young receivers are too young to make whomever the starating quarterback is look good. 

Revenge will be sweet, but how sweet is the question.

75% chance of a W.

Game 7: @USC

Ruh-Roh. Revenge game the other way. Preventing USC from a national title bid: A big deal. 

You think USCwon’t have Jacquizz Rodgers running through their mind all season long waiting for this game? What about James’ touchdowm from the clutches of interception?

USC will not be asleep for this game. I don’t expect as stifling a defense as last year, but USC's offense should not be that diminished from last year, and their offensive line and running game should be better. 

If OSU gets back to stopping the run they way they did two seasons ago, this could turn out to be a game of field position. A couple spectacular special teams plays could put OSU over the top. 

They won’t be favored though, not by a long shot.

30% chance of a W.

Game 8: UCLA

Ah, the other school playing football in LA. 

I don’t see the kind of collapse that happened the last time these two played repeating itself in Corvallis. With either a first-year QB or an interception machine behind center for UCLA, and with OSU kinks worked out by this time, the Beavers should win this game.

75% chance of a W.

Game 9: at California

This is a game I will be road-tripping to. If Cal manages to be undefeated at this poin, they will be a Top 5 team; one loss, and they're probably a Top 15 team. 

Remember the last two times OSU were in Strawberry Canyon? They were close victories for OSU that went unpredicted except by the OSU faithful. 

I’m faithful, and I have history to back it up. OSU has not lost at California since 1997, though Oregon State broke the home-team-loses streak last year with their victory against Cal. 

This game is late in the year, and we all know how good OSU is towards the end of their seasons. I predict a close game going in OSU’s favor; that’s right, I’m predicting upset based on history, systems (OSU seems to have Cal’s number except early in the season in Corvallis), and the additional weaponry OSU will bring to the table (James, plus Jacquizz, plus senior QB versus Best).

Cal should have the best weapons, but OSU should be able to hold them in check. Expect fireworks.

55% chance of a W.

Game 10: Washington

This should be a good game. Washington, with a new system and new coach, should bring surprises to the PAC-10.

The cupboard was not left bare despite the 0-12 performance last season. Washington should be better than the ninth-place finish the media predicted. 

Despite everything pointing to a good game in Corvallis, I do not see Washington knocking off OSU in Corvallis.

80% chance of a W.

Game 11: @Washington State

Washington State should be better this season, with Paul Wulff getting his system more firmly in place.

Having a good running game should help WSU's chances in the PAC-10, but I don’t see any kind of rebirth for awhile in Pullman. Sorry, the cupboard was left too bare; many teams in the MWC and WAC wouldn’t feel good about this roster. 

OSU in stride will not lose this game. History can be ignored with the woeful team WSU fielded last season, and Wulff’s system is not a spread scheme. WSU will score on OSU, but there won’t be many fireworks.

90% chance of a W.

Game 12: @Oregon

The Civil War will be what it always is: a monster game at the end of the season with a lot on the line for both teams. This year's version should be even bigger than usual. 

This game could have BCS implications for either or both teams, and could even mean a Championship berth.  \Yeah, I hate those yellow and green quacks too, but they could be undefeated heading into this game with most of those tough challenges coming to Eugene. 

Then again, Oregon has a history of quarterback injuries to the point where the questions are: When will Masoli be injured? How good will his backup be? How long will he be out?

With Masoli out for this game, it looks completely different. If whomever backs him up isn’t up to snuff, OSU could take over this game. 

I do not see OSU pulling this game off, but I see how it could easily be done.

35% chance of a W.

Bowl Prediction:

Holiday/Sun/Las Vegas.  Since the Sun won’t come calling two years in a row (they have the option to pick who goes) I see a return trip to Las Vegas. That should be an easy victory for OSU, so let’s hope a Holiday Bowl bid comes.

Predicted wins based on percentages listed: 7.95. 

Dream Season: Win two out of three big games on the road in conference and grab a Rose Bowl bid. OSU gets help from Cal and Oregon against USC, and from Stanford pulling off an upset of Oregon while Cal has another late season collapse after handing Oregon their first loss. 

Disaster Season: Both Rodgers brothers end their seasons early, the secondary takes awhile to gel, and the team never really gets it together.  When Catchings proves he cannot be a primary receiver in the PAC-10, the coaches start playing around with the offense, searching for a solution. The Beavers end up missing a bowl for only the second time since Riley’s return.

Read all of my posts on my blog here.

Before I get to my top 25 teams I am going to preview some of the teams that just missed my top 25.

Oregon State will be good this year, I'm just not sure how good. They return both of the Rodgers brothers which is definitely a plus. They will also return QB Lyle Moevao who threw for 2,534 yards with 19 TD's and 13 INT's last season.

Jaquizz Rodgers will be a huge part of any success OSU has this year
(photo credit si.com)

Jacquizz Rodgers ran for 1,253 yards last season and will be one of the best running backs in the country in '09. The Beavers will look for Rodgers to carry the load and take pressure off of Moevao. Sammie Stroughter was the Beavers leading receiving last season and has since departed.

This means that last years third leading receiver James Rodgers will have to step up. Rodgers certainly has a wealth of talent we will have to see if he can find a way to deploy all of it.

The Beavers have a lot of upset potential. Teams will look to stop Jacquizz first; this will be a very hard task.

If OSU can take advantage of the talent they have at certain positions then they will be a solid team this year. I have only seen a few polls with them in the top 25. Right now I think that they are a couple teams removed. Top 30, for sure but to crack the top 25 they will have a little work to do.

If nothing else OSU is a fun team to watch, so if you see them on TV take a second and see what you've been missing.


Projected Record: 8-4

(Let's just say Quizz is hard to tackle)

The Beavers are returning seven starters on the offensive side of the ball this year.  Including some of their major play makers. But, they have also lost the majority of their line, including second round draft pick Andy Levitre. Still the Beavers have many reasons to be optimistic.

1. The Rodgers Brothers

The Rodgers brothers accounted for more than half the beavers offense last year even though injuries cut both of their seasons short. Jacquizz was the first freshman ever to be voted the best offensive player of the year for the PAC-10 and with another year of weightlifting under his belt he will be even faster and stronger.

So USC, you better be ready! James is no slouch either and is a preseason all-American hopeful. With blazing speed and great hands James is expected to walk into an expanded role next year. 

2.  Coach Cavanuagh

Coach cav is the o-line coach for the Beavs and has consistently produced one of the best offensive lines in the PAC-10. After losing three starters he will be vital in preparing the replacements. 

3.  QB

The Beavers don't just have one good QB, they have two! Moevoe and Canfield both have shown themselves to be very capable QB's. Moevoe was an all PAC-10 honorable mention but he missed spring practices because of a shoulder injury.

Canfield siezed the opportunity and is the starter right now, but Moevoe was just cleared to start throwing again.  Expect a huge QB battle between these two teammates. But, it doesn't matter who starts because either way the Beavers win.

4.  Receivers

Even though the Beavs are returning only one starter, the receiver corp looks as good or better than last year.  The starter line-up right now is James Rodgers, Darell Catchings, and Casey Kjos.

Darell Catchings had a very productive freshman year earning more than 300 yards with 30+ catches and is very athletic.  Junior Casey Kjos is 6-2 205 is a good route runner with sticky hands.  Ultimately, the receiver corp looks like they will be as good or better than last years.

With a more experienced running back and a veteran QB at the helm the Beavers will have a well balanced, and potent offense.

With only three starters returning to one of the PAC-10 and nation's top defenses, many people are concerned for this year's team. 

Especially, since the Beavers need to replace all four of their starters on secondary and the majority of their D-line. But, the beavers have many reasons for optimism.

1. Coach Banker

Mark Banker is the defensive coordinator for the Beavers. Last year the Beavers had replaced the entire front seven and they still had one of the best defenses in the PAC-10. He is arguably one of the best in the country and has continually produced one of the best defenses in the PAC-10. 

2. Easy Non-Conference Games

Games against Portland state and UNLV should help the Beavers' secondary ease into PAC-10 play. But, Cinci will be a test for the Beavs and the secondary will need to play well if the Beavers are going to win.

3. Returning Linebackers

The beavers are returning two of their starting linebackers. Including Keaton and Kristik who was Second Team All-PAC-10. Dwight Roberson and Keith Pankey both started games for the Beavers and both played very well. Plus, the one linebacker that left, Bryant Cornell, is being replaced by David pa'ahuli who had significant playing time last year and made good contributions to the team.

4.  Stephen Paea

Stephen Paea is the lone returning starting D-lineman. Last year, Paea was All-PAC-10 Honorable Mention and can bench 530 pounds and squat 750. He is a complete animal and will give lineman headaches through the season.

5.  Playing Time

Many of the beavers that are replacing the starters have had a lot of playing time. For example, Tim Clark has basically been a starter at corner for the Beavers because of all the playing time he has had. Even though the Beavers are only returning three starters, many replacements have had significant playing time.

The Beavers have many reasons to be hopeful for the coming year and should have another great defensive year.

The Beavers have made a habit of surprising the Pac-10 over the last few years.

Over the last three seasons, Oregon State has been selected to finish in the back half of the conference.

All three of those times they have provided us with a great upset, a top three finish in the Pac-10 and a spot among the final Top 25 standings in the nation.

One of the most memorable moments from the 2008 college season would have to be the upset in Corvallis. On the shifty legs of Jacquizz Rodgers, the Beavers beat then No. 1 USC, 27-21.

That victory catapulted Oregon State into the national eye and made Jacquizz Rodgers a household name. 

With some of the key pieces back, here is a look at the 2009 Oregon State Beavers.

Offense

Ten of the 11 starters will be returning to the offensive unit this fall. One of those starters being true sophomore Jacquizz Rodgers.

Rodgers quickly vaulted to the forefront of elite runners in the college game following his coming out party against the Trojans.

Jacquizz finished second in the Pac-10 in rushing with 1,253 yards, all while missing the final two games of the year.

His electrifying freshman campaign earned him several honors throughout the conference and country. Some of those awards were Pac-10 player and freshman of the year, as well as various All-American honors.

Ryan McCants will back up Rodgers and provide a different style of running to the offense.

McCants is much more of a downhill runner who has a proven backup track record. In his three starts, Ryan rushed for over 300 yards. He should help provide a great one-two punch in the Beaver backfield.

Another Rodgers will grace the Oregon State offense at receiver. Junior James Rodgers will return to the team providing great speed on the outside. James accounted for over 1,800 total yards and is critical in many misdirection plays for the Beavers.

Playing opposite of Rodgers will be junior Darrell Catchings. Catchings has shown decent pass catching ability, but is unproven at best right now.

The quarterback position is one of great experience and depth. Senior Lyle Moevao should get the starting nod, but Sean Canfield has played well when given the opportunity. The senior is 7-4 in eleven career starts.

Lyle Moevao threw for over 2,500 yards and 19 touchdowns last season. Injuries held him out of three key games during the season.

Oregon State did not miss a beat as Canfield filled in and led them to three big wins over conference opponents.

Three of the five offensive linemen will be returning starters from last season, boasting over 35 games started between all of them. Left guard and right tackle will be filled by new guys this season. 

Defense

Unlike the offense, the defensive unit will only return three starters from last year's team.

There should be little panic though, as Oregon State does a great job of playing many reserves on defense throughout each season.

The defensive line will return one of those three starters, in junior tackle Stephen Paea. Paea earned Pac-10 honorable mention in his first true season with the team. A rotation of three to four more upper classmen should assist in the rebuilding of the interior.

Ben Terry and Kevin Frahm will fill in at the end positions. Both benefited as reserves as they saw significant time on the field. 

Linebackers will provide the most leadership and experience to the unit in the fall. Both Keaton Kristick and Keith Pankey are returning starters at the strong and weak side positions. 

Dwight Roberson will fill the final spot at middle linebacker. Roberson shared time in 2008 with Pankey, so the play at linebacker will be critical to the defenses success.

The secondary returns with four new members. At safety, junior Suaesi Tuimaunei has started two games in his career. The other safety position will be filled by one of two sophomores, Lance Mitchell or Cameron Collins.

Senior Tim Clark and junior James Dockery will look to replace the void left at corner. Dockery is coming off of a knee injury that left him out of the 2008 season.

Special Teams

Justin Kahut will return as the starting place kicker, with consistency still a concern. The punter will be sophomore Johnny Hekker. Hekker is also a returning starter.

The return game should be exciting as James Rodgers will handle all of the return duties for the Beavers. Rodgers was named to the Pac-10's first team as kick returner last season.

Outlook

Oregon State should light up the scoreboard once again this season. Veteran leadership at the quarterback position will benefit the team greatly.

Having both of the Rodgers brothers lining up somewhere on the offensive side of the ball should give opposing defenses headaches all season.

Defense will be a major key this season. Although many of the guys have seen the field, that is not the same as being a weekly starter.

Four of the first six games will be at Reser Stadium in Corvallis. This is a major home field advantage and should help with any short comings on the defensive side of the ball.

Expect the Beavers to be a force in the Pac-10 again this season. Winning eight games should be a manageable task.

Two experienced quarterbacks return to Corvallis for their senior years. Both have winning records in their careers and each has won a bowl game with the Beavers.

Sounds like a spring QB dual for the ages, right?

Wrong.

Unfortunately a surefire competition for the starting job never had the chance to develop.

Redshirt senior Lyle Moevao underwent surgery to repair damage to his shoulder in February and has been shut down from practicing until mid to late July. Moevao was the starter for most of last season, but he was noticeably affected after suffering the shoulder injury on Nov. 1 against Arizona State.

With Moevao sidelined for the spring, fellow senior Sean Canfield has claimed control of the No.1 spot at QB.

Beaver fans are very familiar with Canfield. In 2007, he was the team’s starter for nine games until suffering a shoulder injury against USC that kept him out of the following fall QB competition with Moevao.

The situation was eerily similar to this year’s, only with roles reversed. That season, Canfield was 165-286 for 1,661 yards with nine TDs and 15 INTs. He was the winning QB in an Emerald Bowl victory over Maryland.

The 6'4" 220 lbs. left-hander played a backup role in 2008, but when he was called upon, Canfield delivered in a big way.

Last November, Canfield helped lead the Beavers to a comeback win at Arizona that kept OSU’s Rose Bowl hopes alive (even if only for one more week).

He was 20-34 for 224 yards with one TD. The performance gave Oregon State coaches and teammates a chance to see Canfield’s leadership qualities on display. For his career, Canfield has thrown for 2,699 yards with 17 TDs and 19 INTs.

So far this offseason, Canfield has been solid. The fifth year senior enjoyed an excellent spring camp despite a shaky performance in the Beavers' spring game, which saw him go 20-32 for 182 yards, one TD, and three INTs.

Canfield has a big arm to go along with a big frame, and his deep ball should be utilized a lot this season. In order to succeed, he must cut down on his turnovers in 2009.

Heading into fall, Canfield is the clear favorite for the starting job, but a competition may surface when Moevao comes back healthy.

Senior Lyle Moevao has put together a very impressive body of work over his career. He is 11-4 as a starter and his 3,410 career passing yards are sixth in school history.

In 2008, Moevao had a breakout year, throwing for 2,534 yards with 19 TDs and 13 INTs.

The 19 TDs trail only Jonathan Smith and Derek Anderson for most ever in a season by a Beaver QB. Although his shoulder injury slowed him down, Moevao finished the season as the starting quarterback in OSU’s 3-0 Sun Bowl win over Pittsburgh.

The 5'11" 225 lbs. California native is compactly built and does not shy away from physical contact. He has been known to throw huge blocks despite being a QB, and plays with a fiery nature.

The former high school defensive end lost 20 lbs. before the start of 2008 in order to prepare for being a starting QB in the Pac-10.

He doesn’t have the arm srength that Canfield does, and he isn’t very mobile, but he is a gamer that makes plays in a variety of ways.

Moevao has been praised for his leadership and colorful personality on the field. He will not be ready until mid-July (at the earliest), and will therefore have to make up ground in a hurry.

Oregon State has a few other QBs that could find playing time in 2009. Canfield’s main backup during the spring was redshirt freshman Ryan Katz. The Santa Monica, CA native has a very live arm and throws a good deep ball.

He completed 10-21 passes for 101 yards in the spring game. The No.3 during spring was sophomore Justin Engstrom. The 6-5 Engstrom has game experience for OSU against Hawaii, UCLA, and Washington State in 2008.

He was 8-15 for 48 yards and one INT in the spring game.

The most intriguing QB on the roster is junior Peter Lalich. The 6'4" 226 lbs. Lalich started against USC last season for Virginia, but he is eligible to play this season after transferring from UVA in September of 2008.

The UVA's athletic department decided to dismiss Lalich from their football program after he had some run-ins with the law, including minor traffic offenses and underage purchase and possession of alcohol.

Lalich will try to put the past behind him and get a fresh start in Corvallis.

In his career with the Cavaliers, Lalich was 74-135 for two TDs and four INTs. Coming out of high school, he was rated as a four-star QB prospect by both Scout.com and Rivals.com.

He made a great first impression with Beaver fans at the spring game, going 10-17 for 214 yards with two TDs and zero INTs.

Lalich is still early into learning Mike Riley’s system and won’t play this season, but he has huge upside and a bright future. He has three years of eligibility to play two at Oregon State.

My Take

It would have been interesting to see which QB came out of spring with the starting job had Moevao been healthy. I like Canfield’s measurable traits more, but I like Moevao’s intangibles.

My gut feeling tells me that we may see both again this year.

With the multi-talented Rodgers brothers (RB Jacquizz and WR James) on offense, either one of these QBs just has to be consistent and not turn the ball over. Mike Riley does more with less than any other coach in the conference, and he seems to be confident with either quarterback.

The guy that really interests me is Peter Lalich.

Remember, both Canfield and Moevao are gone after this year. Despite his problems in the past, I think Lalich could be a good one with Riley as his mentor. Look for the Virginia transfer to make an impact at some point for the Beavers.

-Sam Saig, www.allpac10.com

This is part four of the 10-part series analyzing the Pac-10’s quarterbacks. In this installment, we take a trip to Corvallis, Oregon.

Oregon State Head Coach Mike Riley has an interesting decision that he has to deal with before the season starts. The question is, “Who should I start at QB, Lyle Moevao or Sean Canfield?”

Both quarterbacks have shown their abilities on the field. Both have shown that they can lead the Beavers in tough situations.  

Lyle Moevao, a senior from Torrance, California, passed for over 2,500 yards and 19 touchdowns last season for the Beavers.  That is the good news. The bad news, however, is that he threw 13 interceptions last season, and he had surgery to his throwing shoulder in the offseason. 

As a result, Moevao did not throw a pass in the spring. But, he is slated to begin throwing, and he will be able to compete for the job when fall camp opens up later this month.  

Now, Sean Canfield, the 6’4" San Diego native, put up his numbers in 2007. Although, his stats don't compare to Moevao's 2008 stats. Canfield passed for 1,661 and nine touchdowns while gifting defenses with a grand total of 15 interceptions (five of which Canfield tossed to ASU in the Devils' 44-32 comeback victory in ’07).

However, when Moevao went down with his injury in ‘08, Canfield did step up for Mike Riley when he was called upon. Moreover, Canfield returned the favor to Arizona State in Corvallis last season with 218 yards through the air and two touchdowns in the Beavers’ 27-25 win.

Canfield’s fill-in-when-needed role also led to victories over UCLA and Arizona both on the road.

But Moevao was given the start against Civil War-rival Oregon in the final regular season game. 

This scenario has been played out before. Jeff Tedford and California struggled with this issue the past few seasons with Nate Longshore and Kevin Riley.

But that is not the only similarity between the two schools. Both Oregon State and Cal have built their offenses with solid running backs and great offensive lines.

Cal has showed off their running back talent in Jahvid Best, Justin Forsett, and Marshawn Lynch even earlier.

Although, the Beavers have had their fair share of All-Conference talent as well in Steven Jackson and Yvenson Bernard. Similarly, Jacquizz Rodgers has taken the pressure off of the passing game-quarterback carousel and carried the team to a 7-2 conference record in ’08. 

Rodgers posted over 1,250 yards and 11 touchdowns in his freshman season. His only downside, at 5’7" and 190 pounds, is durability, as he missed the final two games after being injured versus Arizona. 

However, when one Rodgers is sidelined, the other players stepped up. James Rodgers, brother of Jacquizz, was the comfort blanket that Moevao and Canfield looked to in clutch situations. Hauling in 51 passes for over 600 yards, this “x-factor” can impact the score in the run game, utilizing the fly sweep, and returning kicks on special teams.

Still, the main question in Corvallis is, “Who is going to play quarterback?” Is Mike Riley going to stick with Moevao, who led the Beavers to a huge upset victory over USC last season, or play the healthy and improved Canfield.  

Although I am not the head coach at Oregon State, I would go with Moevao. He has emerged as the leader of the team this past season and has been a vocal leader during spring workouts. If Moevao’s shoulder is healthy and performs well in fall camp, then he is the man for job in 2009.

Although, it never hurts to have two quarterbacks that are proven and experienced. I am sure Paul Wulff and Washington State wouldn’t mind the services of either one of them.  

Next up: The Arizona Wildcats, coming off their first bowl victory since their epic 1998 Holiday Bowl victory over Nebraska. Good bye Willie Tuitama. Hello Matt Scott?

Laying out near the pool and catching a tan is great, but college football fans are beginning to switch their thoughts to defenders laying out opponents making a catch over the middle.

If you're reading this, you're one of us.

Former Beavers and-now NFL rookies-are plugging away trying to make a roster spot, while the teammates they've left behind at their respective Pac-10 Universities are revving up for what certainly should be a tight race in 2009.

It seems to be the same song and dance when talking pre season Pac-10 football.  Who will challenge the all-mighty Men of Troy?  Oregon, California, and possibly Oregon State as a long shot.

The usual suspects.

Arizona, Stanford, Arizona State, and UCLA round out the middle and could contend for a bowl game, and as of late, the Washington schools...well...we'll wait until something worth talking about happens.

Such broad topics of conversation only create shouting matches which turn into, "My dad could beat up your dad!!" followed by "Nuh-uhhh!"

For OSU there are three glaring issues facing the make up of their 2009 squad, new faces in the secondary, lack of depth at O-Line, and a heavy need for a pass rush.

Said three topics have been talked about ad nauseam.

There are points in the year when a season can take a turn for the better, or turn for the worse. Below are what I consider key match-ups within the match-ups.  Hopefully these will provide a little more in-depth chat about the Pac-10 season, and OSU in particular.

Week Two - @ UNLV: This will be the first road test for the perennially slow starting Beavers. OSU should be 1-0 coming off an easy win in their home opener versus Portland State.  So what's to be concerned about?

Junior quarterback Omar Clayton has recovered from a knee injury that forced him to miss the final three games of the 2008 season.  Before the injury, Clayton was more than effective for the Rebels with over 1,800 yards and an 18 touchdown to four interception ratio.

Clayton will have weapons Ryan Wolfe and Phillip Payne back at wide-out.  Wolfe now a senior and looking to improve on last years 1,000 plus yards and six touchdowns.  Payne, who who missed three games as well, is now a sophomore and also should improve on his 15 yards per catch and seven touchdown season.

This offense is wide open, fast, and mixes just enough of a run game (Summers 740 yards and eight touchdowns) to make their passing attack that much more effective.

Key To The Game - Secondary vs. Spread Passing Game: UNLV certainly is no Penn State, or even Utah for that matter, however with a wide open pass-happy offense and the green OSU secondary, this could be a dog fight for the Beavers on the road early.

Something they're far too accustomed to.

The Beavers will need to put history aside and play fundamental football.  They have the athletes and the system to be successful, it's a matter of performing early in the season, which they haven't as of late.

A great performance from the secondary in their first road test versus this style offense could go a long way in terms of player confidence and what D-Coordinator Mark Banker can do with his front seven for the remainder of the season.

Also, the next week defending Big East Champion, Cincinnati travels to Corvallis with a similar offensive attack.

Keep An Eye On - Pass Rush: Covering a wide out becomes much easier for a corner when the quarterback is pressured and timing is thrown off.  Watch for the defensive ends for OSU to have a great day and take pressure off the young secondary. Timely blitzes from the linebackers and pressure off the edges will be crucial if OSU wants to walk away 2-0 headed back home.

Week Five - @ Arizona State: The Beavers travel to scorching hot Tempe Arizona for their first conference road game in a venue that hasn't been kind to the Beavers.

In 2007 OSU was on their way to getting their first road win since 1969 against the Devils, only to see a 19 point first quarter lead vanish and end up losing 44-32 thanks to Rudy Carpenter magic.

Carpenter is now gone and Danny Sullivan will step in and try to recreate the magic that Carpenter provided week after week.

Key To The Game - O-Line vs. ASU D-Line: Last year Arizona State played its best game in Corvallis, holding the OSU ground game to only 109 net yards rushing. Jacquizz Rodgers, seemingly the only bright spot, had 188 total yards in the closely contested 27-25 win.

This year the front seven, and D-Line in particular, will be even better.

With questions at one tackle spot for the Beavers they will have their work cut out for them against what could be one of the best D-Lines in the conference.

Dexter Davis and Lawrence Guy provide an inside-outside punch from the defensive line that will give any offensive front five fits.  The bulky 6'2" 255 pound Davis recorded 11 sacks in '08 from his defensive end position along with a team leading 15 tackles for loss. 

And that Guy guy, a freakish 6'5" 295 pound D-Tackle, destined for the NFL.

Incoming freshman Michael Philipp may end up getting the starting nod at the second tackle spot due to an injury to the former front runner Timi Oshinowo.  If so, this will be the four star recruits biggest test early in his career.

What To Watch - Play Calling: These are the games that coaches earn their money.  Screens, draws, and roll out play action passes will help disrupt what Coach Erickson and Craig Bray want to do on defense.

If OSU can keep the D-Line guessing and on it's heels, with not much offense coming from the Devils, OSU could win easily. If the D-Line is in the backfield all night, it'll be tough for OSU to come out victorious.

Week 11 - Washington: Annually OSU loses a game in conference they have no business losing.  2008 Stanford, 2007 UCLA, 2006 Washington State..etc.

If OSU isn't careful the 2009 Huskies could be added to that list.

Jake Locker is back from injury and has the backing of a new coaching staff.  Locker will be looking to blow up the Beavers and shockingly could be vying for a bowl bid if all goes well in Seattle.

IF.

Key To The Game - Contain Jake Locker: On what was a bizarre early November game in Corvallis in 2007, Locker was carted off the field via ambulance.  Luckily he returned later with only a sprained neck.

Locker is looking for redemption against OSU for what was a vicious, yet legal hit, not only that, but also to solidify himself as one of the best dual threat quarterbacks in the nation.

The focus should be on not allowing Locker to use his feet and force him to throw the ball. His dreadful 47 percent completion percentage and 14 touchdowns to 15 interceptions from 2007 are what Banker and Co. are hoping to tap into with constant pressure and proper containment.

OSU's linebacking trio is athletic enough to contain Locker.  Mark Banker will need to focus much of his time and energy on watching Locker's tendencies or else he could run wild on the Reser Stadium turf and the above list will add yet another name.

What To Watch - O-Line: By mid November, OSU will have figured out its identity on offense.  This game could showcase some young names on the offensiveve line and get running back Jacquizz Rodgers well over the 100-yard mark.

If OSU can run the ball with a purpose and with consistency, Washington will be unable to win in a shoot out with the Beavers.

Week 13 @ Oregon: "The Grand Daddy Of Them All," well as far as most Oregonians are concerned. Two teams fighting for top spots in the conference will meet on the stripped Autzen turf in what should be an offensive showcase.

Last season OSU was one win away from a Rose Bowl, only to see roses strewn about the walk way around the field after a classic beating handed down by a far superior Chip Kelly lead spread attack.

Hopefully Jacquizz Rodgers will have a say in how the 2009 version turns out.

Key To The Game - Mark Banker vs. Chip Kelly: How in the world can a 53-year-old from Plymouth, Massachusetts have any impact on the outcome of a game?

While OSU constantly churns out top notch defenses, Banker has yet to successfully slow down a spread attack (Penn State, Utah, Oregon).  With Oregon's being the best run first spread game in the nation, he'll have his work cut out for him yet again.

If Banker can balance aggressive first down defensive play calling and get the Ducks in long second and third down situations, the Beavers will have a much better time than in 2008.

What To Watch - Jacquizz Rodgers: The tiny talent was out with an injury for last seasons finale versus the Ducks.  If Rodgers can stay healthy and be ready to go against Oregon, OSU will have a great chance to pull it out on the road.

Last season saw Lyle Moevao throw for over 350 yards and five touchdowns, this all with no rushing threat.  If there is a threat to keep linebackers at home, OSU's offensive balance will be the determining factor.  

This assuming Banker can figure out how to slow the rush attack of Oregon. We all saw what happens in a shoot out against Oregon.

Other Keys To The Season:

1) Beat Cincinnati.  This will go a long way for the Beavers, not just for the 34-3 loss in 2007.  It should mean they're 3-0 to start the season, ranked anywhere from 20-15, and have beaten a former conference champion and BCS qualifier from the year before.

2) Win all home games.  OSU plays Portland State, Cincinnati, Arizona, UCLA, Washington, and Stanford at home. With the tough road schedule in conference, the Beavs can't afford to drop a game they should win, especially at home.

3) Stay Healthy. Seems redundant, every team in the nation says this.  But depth at running back and on the O-Line is scarce and for OSU to remain atop the Pac-10 standings they need to remain healthy.

Jacquizz Rodgers has been underestimated much of his life, even when he continues to put up numbers he is still told that he is to small. This year might be the year where everything changes. Rodgers is coming off of a season where he rushed for 1,253 yards and 11 touchdowns.

Oregon State and Rodgers had it's moment in the sun last year when they beat USC. People talked about Rodgers for a while but he was soon forgotten. This year Jacquizz should be looked at as one of the premier backs in college football. He has the tools for success and if he can have a sophomore season similar to his freshman one then he will certainly get noticed. Let's take a look at why Rodgers demands attention.

As the temperature rises, so does anticipation of the upcoming 2009 college football season.

Fan forums and team websites are flooded with predictions and concerns, all simply trying to pass the time until the opening of fall practices.

The 2009 Oregon State Beavers certainly have concerns of their own, none of which more pressing than the departure of four NFL caliber defensive backs and the need to replace tremendous amounts of game experience.

Since 2005 Brandon Hughes and Keenan Lewis have been synonymous with the Beaver secondary.  Both started as freshman and took more than their fair share of lumps.  Many Beaver fans remember (or try not to) the 428 yards given up through the air on the road versus Louisville. 

While their OSU careers began painfully, in no way was that any indication of how they would finish.

Hughes and Lewis were arguably the best corner duo in the Pac-10 in their 2008 senior seasons.  Both were physical and in OSU's man press scheme they fit perfectly. Hughes earned 2nd Team All-Conference honors, while Lewis earned honorable mention, and also was on the All-Academic Team.

Now that the former Beaver greats are fighting for spots on an NFL roster, OSU must replace 282 tackles and over 80 career starts.

So what's left in the cupboard for coach Riley and D-Coordinator Mark Banker? 

No. 21 Tim Clark - Sr. 6'0" 175lbs

The fifth year senior has the most game time experience out of all the returning lettermen for the OSU secondary.

Clark has started only six games, however was a key part in Banker's three man rotation at corner last season.  Clark spelled Hughes and Lewis when needed and proved there was no drop off in production.

Clark is best known by Beaver fans for his dominating performance in his first start.  OSU's 2007 trip to Cal had Keenan Lewis sidelined with injury and in stepped the young red-shirt sophomore Tim Clark.  Clark was man up against the dangerous DeSean Jackson and held the now-Philadelphia Eagles wide out to four yards on five catches.

Clark has the tenacity and attitue to be a great Pac-10 corner.  He's already shown he's worthy of starting and should shine now that he's the man on the edge.

No. 3 Patrick Henderson - Sr. 5'10" 185lbs

Henderson is another senior who is hoping his final year as a Beaver is a successful one.  Henderson may be the most athletic of the corners and while he has never started, he has played in 40 games on special teams. 

Henderson was a kick off return man along side James Rodgers and averaged 28 yards a return in 2008.

With the athleticism that Henderson possesses he's a great fit at corner for OSU.  Like Clark, he's a fifth year senior who knows Mark Banker's system and should do well in his last year as a Beaver. Whether or not he starts he will be on the field.

No. 4 James Dockery - Jr. 6'1" 180lbs

2008 wasn't kind to James, as he was out all season with an injured knee.  The knee is now healed and James is ready to make an impact in his junior season.

Dockery played special teams in 2007 and recorded 12 tackles as a red-shirt freshman.  Spring 2009 was a test for Dockery's knee and he passed with flying colors.  Now at full speed, Dockery looked strong in OSU's spring game, breaking up numerous passes and recording an interception.

The LaQuinta, California native has the know-how to be a quality player for Riley.  Dockery is a also teacher in the huddle, often shouting words of encouragement to the new faces in the secondary, any coaches dream.

No. 17 Brandon Hardin - Soph. 6'2" 210lbs

The wildcard in the race for the corner spot is Brandon Hardin.  Hardin comes from OSU's talent rich Hawaiian pipeline and is the most physical corner OSU has ever had.

As a freshman, Hardin was a gunner on the punt coverage team often greeting the returner with a vicious blow.

Hardin has the least amount of experience in the group, but has the most raw and untapped talent.  If he can learn defensive schemes and continue to impress in practice, he could sneak into the role Tim Clark held last season as a third starter.

Outlook: Many are quick to shout "drop off" since Hughes and Lewis were such high quality corners. 2005 is referenced also, in which OSU went 5-6 and failed to make a post season bowl game, largely due to the inability to stop anyone in the passing game.

2009 will be nothing like 2005.  '05 Started two freshman, one of which (Hughes) had just made the transition from receiver to corner a year prior. This year OSU returns two fifth year seniors, a junior, and a very talented sophomore.

Clark, Henderson, Dockery, and Hardin look to be the front runners for the starting spots and if the season started now, Dockery and Clark would hold the slight edge.

Players to watch: Kenyan Parker, David Ross, Kaua Olds

The position of greater concern for many of the OSU faithful is at safety.  Greg Laybourn is now gone as well as Al Afalava.  Laybourn was the heart of the OSU defense, leading not only the team in tackles, but also the Pac-10 in tackles in 2008 with 113.

If Laybourn was the heart that kept the defense ticking, Afalava was the iron-clad fist that delivered blow, after blow. (I post because neither were cheap-shots)

The experience OSU loses at the safety position could prove detrimental to the success of the 2009 Beaver defense, however with upgrades in athleticism, is it too crazy to think OSU could be better at the position?

OSU's glaring weakness in '08 was the inability to cover the slot receiver with safeties Laybourn and Afalava.  Now with more speed, will that concern lessen?

Again, what tools do Riley and Co. have to work with in 2009?

No. 10 Lance Mitchell - Soph. 6'2" 205lbs

Mitchell is bigger and faster than his predecessor Laybourn, but the intelligence that Laybourn played with is what Mitchell hopes to harness in what most likely will be his first year starting at the safety position.

Mitchell has opened eyes this spring while running with the first team defense. He shows good ability to cover on top as well as fill holes in run support. With Mitchell,  closing speed is improved and with the extra three inches he has on Laybourn it should equate to more pass break ups. Should.

If Mitchell is able to play smart and within himself, he should thrive at the safety position and OSU could be seeing production both in run support as well as down field coverage.

No. 28 Suaesi Tuimaunei - Jr. 6'1" 205lbs

As the only upperclassman in the group, Tuimaunei has two starts under his belt, but has also seen quality playing time in Mark Banker's never ending defensive rotation.

Tuimaunei recorded 15 tackles as a reserve in 2008.  As is common place in Riley's system, he has been on the field since his second year at OSU as a special teams stand out.

Tuimaunei started the first half of the Stanford game for then-suspended Afalava and was exposed by a strong running Toby Gerhart. 

The sophomore didn't posses the physicality needed at the safety position and with an offseason of workouts, Tuimaunei will need to flex his muscles and be a force in the run game if he wants to hold his (believed to be) starting spot.

No. 5 Cameron Collins - Soph. 6'2" 220lbs

Cameron Collins is the starter if you're going by looks.  Collins is a slightly smaller version of Taylor Mays, however he certainly has a ways to go if he wants to equal the success of Mays.

Scout.com ranked Collins the 47th best recruit out of California in 2006.  Along with his size, Collins stands out in the classroom. He earned Pac-10 All Academic first team in his freshman year.

Once the pieces fall into place, Collins will be a beast at the safety position, until then, he must work on aggressiveness and quickness to the ball. 2009 should be a great introduction for Collins.

Outlook: Collins, Tuimaunei, and Mitchell look to be the favorites for the three man rotation.  Depth is a concern for the Beavers, if any of those three were to go down, behind them are two red-shirt freshman.

OSU should be very good at the safety position, unfortunately it might take mid-way through the 2009 season or even into the 2010 season before everything starts clicking.

Players to watch: Anthony Watkins, Josh LaGrone

The 2009 Beaver secondary has tremendous potential, however we all know that potential means nothing until things play out on the field.

One thing in OSU's favor is the non conference line up this year.  Portland State and UNLV are two teams that OSU should handle and both like to throw the ball. 

Given two "warm up" games to get acclimated, the secondary will then get its biggest test in their non-conference finale at home versus the 2008 Big East Champs and pass happy Cincinnati Bearcats. This schedule progresses perfectly for the 2009 squad to learn as they go.

There will certainly be reason for concern from the orange faithful, as history often has a strange way of repeating itself.  But for what it's worth, the 2009 version of the secondary has quality experience when comparing it to the 2005 group; the last time OSU had to replace quality starters in the secondary.