49ers vs. Seahawks: What's the Game Plan for San Francisco?

The San Francisco 49ers will hope their recent bye week will be put to good effect as the team travels to face the Seattle Seahawks at CenturyLink Field in Week 11.
San Francisco entered its Week 10 bye after pulling off its third win over the Atlanta Falcons at home in Week 9. While the 49ers sat idle the following week, the 4-5 Seahawks fell 39-32 to the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday Night Football.
These two NFC West rivals may no longer be at the upper echelon of NFL talent as was the case a couple of seasons ago. Yet the 49ers have a chance to deliver a significant blow to Seattle's dwindling hopes of returning to the postseason once more in 2015.
Additionally, San Francisco wants revenge for the Week 7 20-3 loss to Seattle the last time these two teams met.
To do this, the 49ers will have to play a near-perfect game. Pound for pound, the Seahawks are still the superior team based on statistics alone. And home-field advantage continues to give Seattle an edge over its division rival.
Can San Francisco stage an upset? What will head coach Jim Tomsula's squad need to do in order to be effective over the course of 60-plus minutes?

Offensive Game Plan
Quarterback Blaine Gabbert will continue starting for Tomsula and the 49ers offense after delivering two touchdowns and a much-needed victory in Week 9.
The 49ers offense will likely be shorthanded again in Week 11. Wide receiver Anquan Boldin (hamstring) is listed as doubtful, while running back Carlos Hyde (foot) is listed as questionable. And Hyde didn't participate in practice this week, per the team's website.
This means a heavy dose of running back Shaun Draughn to set up San Francisco's rushing attack.
Seattle may have a sub-.500 record. But its defense remains one of the better ones in the NFL based on yards allowed. On the ground, the Seahawks are averaging 3.7 yards per carry allowed, which ranks No. 5 in the league.
And the Seahawks defense remains formidable through the air with the second-best pass defense having allowed a total of just 1,825 passing yards.
Points Allowed | Yards Allowed | Pass Yards Allwoed | Rush Yards Allowed | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Statistic | 179 | 2,730 | 1,825 | 905 |
NFL Rank | 7 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
Based on these numbers, how can the 49ers offense manage to move the ball effectively enough to stay in contention?
Gabbert will need to move the ball through the air against a stouter defense than the one faced in Week 9. But there is an approach Gabbert and offensive coordinator Geep Chryst may employ based on what's seen in the video below.
During Seattle's Week 10 game versus Arizona, the Cardinals frequently lined up wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald out of the slot. Utilizing play-action passes on first down, Fitzgerald was able to find seams within the defense and rip off huge chunks of yards as in this 22-yard reception.
Perhaps this will be an element of San Francisco's offensive approach with wideouts Jerome Simpson and Bruce Ellington if a running game can be established soon enough to set up play action.
And don't be surprised to see the 49ers try to use more of tight end Garrett Celek in the red zone—an approach that seemed to work well in Week 9 as illustrated in the following play:
Tight ends have been problematic for Seattle's defense this year. Look no further than what happened between the Seahawks and the Panthers late in Week 5. So, possibly, such an approach may be the best chance San Francisco stands in finding a way to establish some sort of offensive continuity.

Defensive Game Plan
Unlike their defense, the Seahawks offense hasn't exactly been a force with which to be reckoned.
The ground game will continue to be the staple of Seattle's offensive efforts against San Francisco even if running back Marshawn Lynch (probable) is dealing with an abdominal issue.
Seattle's rushing attack is ranked No. 4 in the league with 1,231 total yards on the ground.
This could be a strength-versus-strength matchup determining the eventual outcome of the contest. San Francisco's defense, while ranked 21st in the league with 1,007 yards allowed on the ground, grades out with a plus-17.1 grade on the season, per Pro Football Focus.
And it's impossible to overlook the team's efforts in bottling up Falcons running back Devonta Freeman two weeks ago—12 yards on just 12 carries.
Linebacker NaVorro Bowman has been the 49ers' best defender against the run with a plus-8.4 PFF grade. And he's leading the team in tackles as well.
Player | PFF Grade | Tackles |
---|---|---|
LB NaVorro Bowman | +8.4 | 71 |
NT Ian Williams | +6.0 | 24 |
LB Ahmad Brooks | +5.9 | 16 |
CB Kenneth Acker | +1.7 | 30 |
DT Glenn Dorsey | +1.0 | 16 |
But Seattle's biggest weakness this season has been the lack of a passing game—likely the culprit of a faulty offensive line.
Quarterback Russell Wilson has been sacked 33 times on the season, and the Seahawks O-line has been among the worst in the NFL.
Enter linebacker Aaron Lynch.
Lynch has been San Francisco's best pass-rusher with a team-high six sacks and a plus-8.1 pass-rushing PFF grade. And the second-year linebacker was able to bring Wilson down twice the last time these two teams met.
This missed assignment reveals just a part of why Seattle's pass protection has been problematic:
Still, the 49ers will have to contend with an aerial attack—despite being ranked No. 27 in the NFL with 1,937 yards—boasting tight end Jimmy Graham and wide receiver Doug Baldwin.
Graham is the bigger threat of the two. While San Francisco will likely employ a variety of combinations to limit Graham, cornerback Dontae Johnson (6'2" and 200 pounds) may be the biggest physical matchup the 49ers want to employ.
San Francisco may still be shorthanded in the secondary with cornerbacks Kenneth Acker (concussion), Tramaine Brock (shin) and Keith Reaser (ankle) all listed as questionable.
Can cornerback Marcus Cromartie pick up where he left off in Week 9?

Key Players and Matchups
Johnson versus Graham will be one noteworthy matchup to follow on Sunday. But the 49ers will want to ensure Wilson has little time in the pocket while taking advantage of a suspect Seahawks O-line.
Lynch and the 49ers pass-rushers will have some opportunities here.
But containing Wilson also needs to be a top priority. Wilson's escapability makes him a dynamic threat despite Seattle's passing woes on the season. And limiting the damage Seattle's quarterback can do with his legs on third down may be an essential element behind a 49ers victory.
On the flip side, Gabbert will be facing a tougher defense. And Seattle's pass rush is considerably stronger than that of the Falcons. Even though defensive end Bruce Irvin (knee) has been ruled out for this contest, the Seahawks pass rush is still potent.
This unit has a plus-45.1 PFF grade in comparison to the 49ers' minus-12.9 pass-protection grade.
San Francisco's rotation along the right side of its O-line will be a factor to monitor. Right guard Andrew Tiller appears to have emerged as the stronger candidate at this position over Jordan Devey. Meanwhile, center Marcus Martin and right tackle Erik Pears continue to struggle.
And yet a big matchup to watch will be between wide receiver Torrey Smith and cornerback Richard Sherman. San Francisco's speedy wideout figures to be matched up frequently against Sherman, per Tyler Emerick of 49ers.com.

Prediction
Perhaps their Week 9 win over the Falcons gave the 49ers some momentum. And, possibly, the bye week afforded Tomsula and Co. the adequate time necessary to both rest and prepare for this divisional showdown.
But it's been a long time since the 49ers won up in Seattle. And this San Francisco team did not look good against the Seahawks earlier this season.
A lot has changed. Gabbert is now under center instead of quarterback Colin Kaepernick. The 49ers defense is playing better as of late. Yet will these factors make a significant difference?
The 49ers will have to play nearly mistake-free football to have a chance at a victory. Even though the Seahawks are dealing with their own woes as of now, San Francisco doesn't appear to have much of a shot to upset its division rival.
Expect the 49ers to go to 3-7 after a 24-13 loss to the Seahawks.
All statistics, injury reports, records and accolades courtesy of Pro-Football-Reference.com and ESPN.com unless otherwise indicated.
Peter Panacy is a Featured Columnist covering the San Francisco 49ers for Bleacher Report. Follow him @PeterPanacy on Twitter.