NFL Rumors: Sam Darnold FA Contract Projected to Be Near Baker Mayfield, Geno Smith

Timing can be everything when it comes to new contracts in sports, and Minnesota Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold picked a less-than-ideal time to revert back to his old form in his team's final two games of the season.
But he still could be in line for significant money in free agency.
ESPN's Jeremy Fowler weighed in on the Darnold discourse Tuesday and pointed out "he's still the top free-agent quarterback" who was never going to get a contract that paid him approximately $50 million annually.
Fowler admitted his final two games "don't help" but also said teams have "forecasted him in Geno Smith/Baker Mayfield weight class of contracts."
Heading into the 2025 season, Mayfield checks in with the 18th-highest average annual value among quarterbacks at $33.3 million, while Smith is 19th at $25 million.
That is a notable comparison point, although it was just last month that The Athletic's Zak Keefer reported some teams around the league thought giving Darnold a contract worth $40 million annually would be a "better bet" than drafting a rookie in the incoming 2025 class.
Any of those figures would represent a raise for Darnold, who signed with the Vikings for one year and $10 million ahead of the 2024 campaign. Heading into the preseason, he was seen as a potential veteran leader and bridge quarterback until J.J. McCarthy was ready to take over as a first-round franchise quarterback.
However, McCarthy suffered a season-ending injury, which elevated Darnold into the starting role.
That seemed like a problem given his past since he failed to live up to expectations as the No. 3 overall pick of the 2018 NFL draft with the New York Jets. He went 13-25 as a starter with New York and then bounced around to the Carolina Panthers and San Francisco 49ers before joining the Vikings.
Yet Darnold surpassed all realistic expectations with Minnesota as a Pro Bowler who led the team to a 14-3 record and playoff spot while completing 66.2 percent of his passes for 4,319 yards, 35 touchdowns and 12 interceptions.
And then the finish happened.
The Week 18 game against the Detroit Lions was for the NFC's No. 1 seed and a first-round bye, and he went 18-of-41 for 166 yards, zero touchdowns and zero interceptions in a 31-9 loss. That was better than the 27-9 loss to the Los Angeles Rams in the Wild Card Round when he went 25-of-40 for 245 yards, one touchdown and one interception while being sacked nine times.
It surely brought back memories of the version of Darnold in New York for those who were watching, and it was fair to wonder what he might look like in a different situation when he is not playing in Kevin O'Connell's system surrounded by Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, Aaron Jones and T.J. Hockenson.
How much the ending of the campaign will ultimately cost him remains to be seen.
The Vikings could always look to franchise tag him, but he might instead hit free agency in search of a new deal. The selling points are that he is still just 27 years old, now has playoff experience and is coming off a Pro Bowl campaign that will likely instill more confidence.
But the ending will be difficult to ignore.