Guardians vs. Orioles Betting Odds, Player Props and Picks for April 15
The Cleveland Guardians and Baltimore Orioles both face ideal hitting matchups on Tuesday.
Guardians starter Logan Allen allowed four earned runs in his first road start and can be vulnerable against right-handed bats, of which there are many in Baltimore’s lineup.
Charlie Morton has been hit well by three opponents in his first three Orioles starts. That trend could continue against a Cleveland offense that is less prone to strikeouts than others.
A pair of offensive outbursts against Allen and Morton could continue an early trend at Camden Yards, where four of five games have had at least nine runs.
Over 9 (-102)
The pitching matchup sets up for a potentially thrilling game at Camden Yards.
Charlie Morton’s 8.78 ERA stands out more than Logan Allen’s 3.50, but both hurlers are susceptible to giving up crooked numbers.
Allen let up four earned runs in his first road start of the season in San Diego. He also had a 5.20 ERA away from home in 2024.
Allen’s splits against right-handed batters are concerning as well. Righties hit .306 with 18 home runs against him in 2024.
Baltimore’s lineup is loaded with home-run hitting righties. Jordan Westburg is leading off, Adley Rutschman bats second and Tyler O’Neill is third. Gary Sanchez is getting the start at catcher, too, and can provide power from the middle of the order.
Morton conceded at least four earned runs in all three of his starts for the Orioles. He let up two home runs in his lone home start, which is a good sign for Jose Ramirez and Co.
The matchups are too juicy to ignore on both sides, so it would be surprising if the Guardians and Orioles struggle to combine for nine runs.
Charlie Morton Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+110)
Charlie Morton’s season strikeout total looks impressive, but it is inflated by a 10-punchout showing against the Boston Red Sox, who lead the majors in strikeouts entering Tuesday.
Morton had three and four strikeouts in his other two appearances for the Orioles.
Cleveland ranks 22nd in team strikeouts and Cole Ragans is the only starter to have more than six strikeouts against the Guardians in the last week.
Morton’s high walk rate doesn’t help either. He issued seven bases on balls in the last two starts, including five over five innings in his last outing against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
The majority of Cleveland’s high-strikeout batters reside in the back half of the order, but they could be less susceptible to strikeouts for a few reasons.
Carlos Santana has a great history against Morton, Gabriel Arias had a pair of multi-hit games against the Royals and Kyle Manzardo has been Cleveland’s most patient hitter in the early season. They are three of the five Guardians hitters with 10+ strikeouts.
Carlos Santana Over 0.5 Hits (-135)
Santana has the best batter-versus-pitcher history in Tuesday’s game.
The veteran first baseman owns a .364 batting average in 11 career at-bats against Morton. He has two home runs and three RBIs versus Morton as well.
Santana recorded a hit in four of his last six games and he should receive more pitches to hit from his spot directly behind Jose Ramirez in the Guardians order.
He’s been better on the road as well in the young season with a .265 batting average and three multi-hit games away from Progressive Field.
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